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WHAT WE FIND IN “THE CONVERSATION”

The numbers of climate sceptics are dwindling. But they remain a noisy and at times powerful minority that continues to have political influence. This group is unmoved by the near-universal agreement among scientists on the reality and impact of climate change. Past research into climate change scepticism has focused on sociodemographics. It has found people are more likely to express scepticism if they are older, male, highly value individualistic beliefs and don’t value the environment. These characteristics are generally entrenched. It means this information, while interesting, may be of little use when trying to increase public support for climate action. Our latest study of Australian sceptics focused on potentially more malleable factors – including the thought processes of people who reject climate science messaging. Our findings suggest some people reject consensus science and generate other explanations due to mistrust in climate science and uncritical faith in “alternative science”. We hope these findings help researchers, scientists and those responsible for public messaging to understand and overcome sceptics’ concerns. Almost 90% of us now believe climate change is a problem across all political persuasions.

For our research, we surveyed 390 Australian climate change sceptics. They were recruited via social media, including from sceptic interest groups and websites. We explored whether the following variables predicted climate change scepticism above and beyond sociodemographic factors: These factors are (1) the extent to which you feel your life’s outcomes are within your personal control, or are mostly influenced by external factors and (2) whether their opinion is based on defending the industrial capitalist system against accusations that its activities are causing harm.

We broke scepticism down into four types. They are: (1) the reality of climate change, (2) the causes of climate change, (3) the impacts of climate change, (4) the need to follow scientific advice.

In terms of who these deniers are, we found this pattern: older people were more likely to be sceptical of the reality of climate change, conservatives were more likely to be sceptical of the reality, causes and impacts of climate change., lower environmental values were strongly linked to all types of scepticism.

In the end, reality will bite. Multi-year droughts and successive never-before-seen floods will struggle to fit a sceptic narrative of yet another “one-in-100-year event”.

A significant and positive finding of this research iis that scepticism is rapidly becoming a topic for historians, not futurists. Climate denialism is dying out by virtue of the scientific weakness and contradctions their narrative.

CONCLUSION

WHEN THE SCIENCE IS GOOD SELL THE SCIENCE BY POINTING OUT ITS STRENGTHS.

WHEN THE SCIENCE IS BAD, SELL THE SCIENCE BY BY DENIGRATING ITS CRITICS.

Thongchai Thailand

IN CASE YOU RUN OUT OF THINGS TO WORRY ABOUT THERE ARE A FEW SUGGESTIONS IN THE GRAPHIC ABOVE AND TONS MORE IN THE QUORA QUESTION AND ANSWER SITE. HERE ARE SOME EXAMPLES FROM QUORA OF THE WORRY WARTISM MENTAL DISORDER OF THE ONCE RATIONAL HUMANS.

THIS IRRATIONAL WORRYWARTISM OF THE ONCE RATIONAL HUMANS IS A CREATON OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE MOVEMENT AGAINST FOSSIL FUELS BUT ITS INTERPRETATION IN WORRYWARTISM AND IN TERMS OF ECO WACKO ENVIRONMENTALISM HAS NO BOUNDS. HERE ARE SOME EXAMPLES OF THE WORRY-WARTISM OF THE ONCE RATIONAL HUMANS IN THE AGE OF CLIMATE CHANGE.

HOW CAN WE PROTECT THE OCEANS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE?

NEW ZEALAND IS NOW CHARGING FARMERS FOR THE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS OF THEIR ANIMALS. HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE THE REST OF THE WORLD TO CATCH UP WITH NEW ZEALAND AND SAVE THE PLANET?

WHAT CAN WE DO TO REDUCE THE CARBON FOOTPRINT…

View original post 6,168 more words

HERE ARE SOME OBSERVATIONS FROM BBC.COM, NYTIMES.COM, NATURE.ORG, MDW.COM, TECHNOLOGYREVIEW.COM, EC.EUROPA.EU, GUARDIAN,COM, AND A FEW OTHER SOURCES THAT INDICATE THAT THE CLIMATE MOVEMENT IS GOING NOWHERE. THE OBSERVATIONS ARE PRESENTED BELOW IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER.

#1: CLIMATE CHANGE DOOMERS ;PREPARING FOR SOCIETY TO FALL APART WITH A COLLAPSE OF HUMAN CIVILIZATION.

2. HOW LONG DO WE HAVE BEFORE CLIMATE CHANGE IS IRREVERSIBLE?

3. IS IT HOPELESS TO TRY TO STOP CLIMATE CHANGE.

4. HOW MANY YEARS DOES THE EARTH HAVE LEFT?

5. IS IT TOO LATE TO TRY AND STOP GLOBAL WARMING?

6. IS IT TOO LATE TO SAVE OUR PLANET?

7. SCIENTISTS SAY THAT GLOBAL WARMING WILL LARGELY COME TO A HALT ONCE HUMANS STOP ADDING HEAT TRAPPING GASES TO THE ATMOSPHERE.

8. CLIMATE ACTIVISM IS NOW A GLOBAL MOVEMENT BUT IT IS STILL NOT ENOUGH.

9. CLIMATE CHANGE AFFECTS ALL REGIONS AROUND THE WORLD. POLAR ICE SHIELDS ARE MELTING AND DTHE SEA IS RISING.

10. ACTVISTS FEAR BIDEN’S CLIMATE PLEDGES ARE FALLING APART.

11. DISEASES WILL INCREASE AND MUTATE, FOOD SHORTAGE WILL BECOME CHRONIC BECAUSE WE WILL FAIL TO MORE AGRICULTURE FROM FROM ONE CLIMATE TO ANOTHER.

CONCLUSION: YE OLDE FEAROLOGY CONTINUES UNABATED AGAINST A TRACK RECORD OF ZERO SUCCESSES.

THE ALARM

The Middle East is one of the most vulnerable regions in the world to the impact of climate change, and already the effects are being seen. This year’s annual U.N. climate change conference, known as COP27, is being held in Egypt in November 2022, throwing a spotlight on the region. Temperatures in the Middle East have risen far faster than the world’s average in the past three decades. Precipitation has been decreasing, and experts predict droughts will come with greater frequency and severity. In Iraq, intensified sandstorms have repeatedly smothered cities this year, shutting down commerce and sending thousands to hospitals. Rising soil salinity in Egypt’s Nile Delta is eating away at crucial farmland. In Afghanistan, drought has helped fuel the migration of young people from their villages, searching for jobs. In recent weeks, temperatures in some parts of the region have topped 50 degrees Celsius (122 Fahrenheit). Governments across the Middle East have awakened to the dangers of climate change, particularly to the damage it is already inflicting on their economies. “We’re literally seeing the effects right in front of us. … These impacts are not something that will hit us nine or 10 years down the line,” said Lama El Hatow, an environmental climate change consultant who has worked with the World Bank and specializes on the Middle East and North Africa. “More and more states are starting to understand that it’s necessary” to act. Egypt, Morocco and other countries in the region have been stepping up initiatives for clean energy. But a top priority for them at COP-27 is to push for more international funding to help them deal with the dangers they are already facing from climate change. One reason for the Middle East’s vulnerability is that there is simply no margin to cushion the blow on millions of people as the rise in temperatures accelerates: The region already has high temperatures and limited water resources even in normal circumstances.

COMMENTARY

CLIMATE SCIENCE SAYS THAT GLOBAL WARMING STARTED EITHER IN THE 1950S OR MAYBE WAY BACK IN THE 1830S. THE ALARM ABOUT THE GLOBAL WARMING EVENT IN THE MIDDLE EAST IN THE YEAR 2022 SAYS IN EFFECT THAT IT TOOK 192 YEARS OR PERHAPS JUST 72 YEARS FOR GLOBAL WARMING TO HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE MIDDLE EAST. THIS LAPSE REQUIRES AN EXPLANATION IN THE ABSENCE OF WHICH IT MUST BE SEEN AS DESPERATION FEAR APPEAL ACTIVISM BY INDIVIDUALS CLAIMING TO BE SCIENTISTS AND CLAIMING TO BE CARRYING OUT SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH.

THE CREDIBILITY OF CLIMATE SCIENCE JUST KEEPS ON SLIPPING.

IT IS REACHING FOR THE GUTTER

AND THE CLOSER THEY GET TO THE GUTTER THE MORE ELABORATE AND COLORFUL THE FEAR APPEAL NEEDS TO BE.

RELATED POST ON FEAR APPEAL

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/05/29/fear-appeal-bibiography/

POST#1: The Spuriousness of Correlations between Cumulative Values: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2725743

POST#2: Responsiveness of Atmospheric CO2 to Fossil Fuel Emissions: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2997420

POST#3: Circular Reasoning in Climate Change Research: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3130131

POST#4: Spurious Correlations in Time Series Data: A Note: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2827927

POST#5: Some Methodological Issues in Climate Science: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2873672

POST#6: Illusory Statistical Power in Time Series Analysis: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2878419

POST#7: The Hurst Exponent of Surface Temperature: A Note: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2689425

POST#8: Trend Profiles of Atmospheric Temperature Time Series: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2839119

POST#9: The Anomalies in Temperature Anomalies: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3236157

WHAT IS CLIMATE CHANGE

Today we are experiencing unprecedented rapid warming from human activities, primarily due to burning fossil fuels that generate greenhouse gas emissions. Human activities have warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land, producing widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere. The Earth is now about 1.1°C warmer than it was in the 1800s. We are not on track to meet the Paris Agreement target to keep global temperature from exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. That is considered the upper limit to avoid the worst fallout from climate change. Adaptation to climate change safeguards people from higher temperatures, rising seas, fiercer storms, unpredictable rainfall and more acidic oceans. Some people are more vulnerable to these effects, such as those living in poverty. Public climate finance, including $100 billion that developed countries have agreed to provide to developing countries each year, supports critical infrastructure for adaptation, resilience and the new renewable energy-based economy.

RESPONSE: IT IS NOT UNPRECEDENTED AS INTERGLACIAL WARMING CYCLES OF THE PAST CAN ATTEST.

AS FOR EXAMPLE, THE ANTICIPATION OF THE COLLAPSE OF THE WEST ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET THAT NEVER HAPPENED THIS TIME AROUND. IT WAS BASED ON WHAT HAD HAPPENED IN A NATURAL INTERGLACIAL WARMING CYCLE THOUSANDS OF YEARS AGO. THESE THINGS HAPPEN IN INTERGLACIALS. THE MAD SEARCH FOR HUMAN CAUSE OVERLOOKS THE NATURAL ASPECT OF WHAT IS BEING PUSHED AS UNNATURAL HUMAN CAUSE.

UN GOOFBALL BEGGING FOR MUCHO DINERO

TRANSLATION OF THE UN BUREAUCRATIC LANGUAGE

The United Nations sees an opportunity here to milk a few millions or maybe billions from the rich countries with the old story that since some countries are too poor to afford climate action and because all countries are not equally responsible for climate change, The UN needs the rich industriaized countries in the West to provide the UN with billions of dollars in funding so that the UN can help the poor countries to take climate action.

THE REAL ISSUE HERE IS MONEY AND THE OPPORTUNITY OF UN BUREAUCRATS TO USE THE GLOBAL WARMING SCHEME TO EXTRACT MUCHO DINERO.

THIS HAS TURNED OUT TO BE A SAD STATE OF AFFAIRS FOR THE UNITED NATIONS SCUMBAGS.

BECAUSE WHAT WE HAVE HERE IS THAT THE UNITED NATIONS BUREAUCRATS THAT HAD PROMISED THE WORLD THAT THEY COULD PUT TOGETHER A CLIMATE ACTON PROGRAM ARE NOW SAYING TWO CONTRADICTORY THINGS ABOUT THAT.

FIRST, WHAT THEY SAY IS THAT THEY HAVE BEEN ABLE TO PUT TOGETHER A GLOBAL AGREEMENT FOR CLIMATE ACTION IN A DOCUMENT CALLED THE PARIS AGREEMENT, BUT THEY HAVEN’T.

THIS ISSUE IS PRESENTED IN SOME DETAIL IN A RELATED POST: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/06/05/the-paris-agreement/

AND THEN THEY CONTRADICT THEMSELVES WITH THE NEW ARGUMENT THAT SUCH AN AGREEMENT IS NOT POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF THE DIFFERENCE IN WEALTH AMONG NATIONS WHICH REQUIRES RICH NATIONS TO HAND OVER BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TO UN BUREAUCRATS SO THEY CAN HELP POOR COUNTRIES TAKE CLIMATE ACTION.

CLEARLY WHAT WE HAVE HERE IS A BUREAUCRATIC GAME THAT INVOLVES MONEY WHERE THE ROLE OF HE CLIMATE IS ONLY TO PROVIDE THE RATIONALE AND THE MEANS FOR THE MONEY GAME.

LINK TO THE STRUCTURAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL FLAWS IN THE UNITED NATIONS

LINKS

LINK#1: THE PARIS AGREEMENT: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/06/05/the-paris-agreement/

LINK#2: THE UNITED NATIONS: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/25/un/

QUESTION

Why do some Americans not want to be carbon neutral?

MY ANSWER

For two very different reasons. First, what climate science says is that burning fossil fuels causes atmospheric CO2 to rise and cause warming and the solution demanded is that we must stop burning fossil fuels. There is no provision here for burning fossil fuels if a supposedly equivalent carbon cycle intervention is made and that means that carbon neutrality is a bogus concept. And second, what we see is a large number of people that include scientists and weathermen who disagree with the climate science hypothesis that burning fossil fuels causes atmospheric CO2 to rise. This position of the critics is supported by the climate science shift from equilibrium climate sensitivity to transient climate response as described in the document linked below.

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/11/18/tcre-transient-climate-response-to-cumulative-emissions/

EXCERPT #1: ECS UNCERTAINTY

EXCERPT#2: TCRE MATHEMATICAL INCONSISRENCY

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/08/26/a-mathematical-inconsistency/

EXCERPT

AN EVEN MORE EGREGIOUS MATHEMATICAL ERROR IN THE CONSTRUCTION AND APPLICATION OF THE TCRE IS ITS MATHEMATICAL INCONSISTENCY. BRIEFLY, IN THE THEORY OF CLIMATE CHANGE, GMST IS A LOGARITHMIC FUNCTION OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION BUT IN THE TCRE, GMST IS A LINEAR FUNCTION OF ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION BECAUSE ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION IS A CREATION OF CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS. RELATED POST LINKED BELOW:

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/08/26/a-mathematical-inconsistency/

Tip of the Week: What's with all the inconsistency? | Change ...

MORE STATISTISTICAL ERRORS IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/05/18/climate-science-vs-statistics/

EXCERPT

CLIMATE SCIENCE VS STATISTICS

Decision Errors - Intro to Inferential Statistics - YouTube

THIS POST IS A LIST OF LINKS TO POSTS ON THIS SITE THAT RELATE TO STATISTICS ERRORS IN CLIMATE SCIENCE.

QUESTION

WHAT IS A KEY CONSIDERATION YOU BELIEVE BELIZE SHOULD HAVE FROM THE IPCC REPORT? DISCUSS WHAT MAY BE AN ENVIRONMENTAL THREAT TO THE COUNTRY AND HOW YOU BELIEVE BELIZE CAN MITIGATE IT.

MY ANSWER

A KEY CONSIDERATION THAT BELIZE SHOULD HAVE FROM THE IPCC REPORT IS THAT THE REASON THE CLIMATE MOVEMENT NEEDS TO KEEP BRINGING IN AND DISPLAYING THESE CLOWNS AND THEIR “REPORTS” FOR A CLIMATE CHANGE SHOW IS THAT THIS IS THEIR LAST DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO FORCE THE CLIMATE ACTION ISSUE HAVING FAILED 26 TIMES TO PUT TOGETHER A CLIMATE ACTION PLAN IN THE COP MEETINGS AFTER SPENDING BILLIONS AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF TAXPAYER MONEY. IT’S WAY PAST TIME TO SHUT DOWN THIS CRIMINAL GANG DRESSED UP LIKE SCIENTISTS AND TO EITHER REFORM AND RESTRUCTURE THE UNITED NATIONS OR SIMPLY TO GET RID OF IT.

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/25/un/

EXCERPT

RELATED POST: THE PARIS AGREEMENT: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/06/05/the-paris-agreement/

EXCERPT

CONCLUSION

IT IS WAY PAST TIME TO SHUT DOWN THE UNITED NATIONS AND IF WE REALLY NEED SUCH A WORLD BODY TO START OVER WITH THE RIGHT KIND OF CONSTRAINTS, OVERSIGHT, AND ACCOUNTABILITY.

LINK TO DETAILS: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/25/un/

EXTRACT

QUESTION:

Is the just published IPCC report on climate change, which seems to be largely ignored in preference to reports from Ukraine, ultimately a lot more important than this conflict?

MY ANSWER

The IPCC has presented a much ballyhooed report about 6 months ago. What did they miss and what did they get wrong to line up again with another IPCC report? What has emerged in climate change since August 2021 that was not there 6 months ago? What we are seeing here surely is some kind of climate change activism where the magical acronym IPCC is invoked to keep climate activism on the front page and hide the complete failure of COP26 that comes in the heals of the failure of COP25, and the failures of all the rest of the cops going all the way back to COP1.

For details please see

THE PARIS AGREEMENT, A QUORA QUESTION : Since the Paris Agreement will not likely be met, how do you think your government can help to achieve the next goal, what do you think that goal should be? ANSWER: I would like to propose that the Paris Agreement has been met. The only AGREEMENT in the Paris Agreement is…https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/06/05/the-paris-agreement/

EXCERPT

We’ve left the action movie and we’re in a comedy.

The world is coming to an end, but gosh, chin up!

The only AGREEMENT in the Paris Agreement is that the participating countries AGREED TO SUBMIT INDCs.

That is all that the participating countries agreed to do.

And in fact all the countries that had agreed to submit INDCs did in fact submit INDCs.

BUT WHAT IS AN INDC????

The key to understanding the Paris agreement is to understand what an INDC is and what it isn’t

(1)First of all, the way we understand what the word agreement means is that there is one document – one statement, that all the participants signed and agreed to abide by.

But there is no such document in the Paris Agreement.

(2): This oddity of what is called an agreement is a creation of the failure of the COPs (United Nations Conference of Parties to the UNFCCC) and that failure is best understood in the context of the history of the UN’s ambition to be a kind of global Environmental Protection Agency by way of the UNEP (united nations environment program).

(3): The UNEP began life with a bang when the UN put together a Global Agreement called the Montreal Protocol where all the nations signed the same document agreeing to change refrigerants. This agreement is credited with having solved the ozone depletion crisis. This apparent success of the newly formed UNEP led to the assumption that the UN could likewise put together a “Montreal Protocol for climate change” (MPFC) with a global agreement to reduce global fossil fuel emissions.

(4): To get such an agreement signed by all nations, the UN put together a global agreement signed by almost all nations called the UNFCCC where the signatories agreed that climate change is a global problem that needs a global solution. The nations that signed this agreement are called Parties to the UNFCCC. The next and final step in resolving the climate crisis was to call a “Conference of Parties” or COP, for the parties to sign a binding emission reduction agreement. Sadly, the COP ended without a signed “Montreal Protocol for the Climate (MPFC).

(5): This failure was a significant event. Flustered and confused in the abject failure of the COP, the UN bureaucrats decided to call for another COP to be called COP2 and line up some more impressive speakers about the dangers of climate change and make some modifications to the emission reduction agreement to get the parties to sign the modified MPFC. But COP2 also failed.

(6): The UN bureaucrats were unable to comprehend the enormous difference between changing refrigerants and overhauling the world’s energy infrastructure. and ventured into a program of tweeking the contract and bringing in more impressive speakers and more scary assessments of what will happen to us and the world and maybe the planet if we don’t do the MPFC. The short version of this story is that after COP3, COP4, COP5, COP6, COP7, COP8, COP9, COP10, COP11, COP12, COP13, COP14, and the very dramatic COP15 in Copenhagen that was described by climate scientists, climate activists, and the UN bureaucrats as a DO OR DIE meeting. It died.

(7)But the climate movement and the UN could not accept this devastating failure and the UN bureaucrats decided that what they needed was a change in strategy. It was the devastating failure in Copenhagen that convinced the UN bureaucrats that more and more speakers with greater and greater fear of climate change will not work and will not deliver the MPFCIt was in Copenhagen that the subtle shift in strategy had to be made to keep toning down the demands in the MPFC until the all the Parties would sign the climate agreement.

Copenhagen - Wikipedia

(8): And so the climate agreement dream was not over yet and on we went to COP16, COP17, COP18, COP19, COP20, COP21, COP22, COP23, and COP24. But still no MPFC and still without an agreement.

(9): A dramatic shift in strategy came in COP25 in ParisThe new desperate strategy was this: If they won’t sign the contract we wrote let them write the contract that they will signAnd so it was that in COP25 in Paris, France that this new strategy was implemented where each nation could independently and in isolation write the agreement that it was willing to sign and then sign it. The collection of these “INDC”s that don’t agree is then assumed to be an AGREEMENT of some kind so the UN can say that they did their job and delivered the MPFC..

(10): The contradictions in this claim have gone unchallenged and so it is to this day that we still accept a collection of INDCs that don’t agree and that are not binding as some kind of global climate action contract that can be claimed to be the delivery of the promised MPFC.

Cirque du Soleil clowns in Paris, Nov 28 2012 - ABC News (Australian  Broadcasting Corporation)

(11): The reality is that the Paris Agreement is not an Agreement to agree but an agreement to disagree and that therefore there is no MPFC and no global agreement to cut global emissions and that this is why we are in an illogical climate action plan of the climate heroism of nation states without a MPFC to reduce global emissions.

NUMNUT UN BUREAUCRAT USES COVID TO SELL CLIMATE | Thongchai Thailand

(12): The new strategy of climate heroism of nation states is something to which the UN fully agrees as the UN Secretary General has framed his new climate action program as some kind of cheerleader making speeches for “AMBITION” of nation states to cut emissions. This is now the confused state of affairs in the expectation that the UN would deliver the MPFCThat didn’t happen. We do not have an MPFC.

That's All Folks HD - YouTube

(13): THE ONLY FUNCTION OF THE PARIS AGREEMENT IS THAT IT ALLOWS THE UN TO PUNCH OUT WITH A FACE SAVING CLAIM OF HAVING DELIVERED THE EXPECTED MPFC SUCCESS.

ABOUT THE UN

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/18/the-eco-crisis-ambition-of-the-un/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/25/un/

Former California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said recently that people have “tuned out” the climate change activism movement because it is “stuck in despair and confusion.” The activists are “wearing the public out” with their apocalyptic warnings of an “existential threat” to life on earth, Schwarzenegger warned in a speech at a climate summit he co-hosted in Austria. He said the focus should be on pollution from fossil fuels, “because that kills people.” Climate activists have succeeded in persuading many people that we’re on our way to human extinction and picking up speed. Schwarzenegger warned that this has created “constant alarm which cannot be sustained.” Another hint that pollsters are picking up signs of trouble for climate alarmism can be seen in a recent fundraising email from a climate activist group, 350.org. It quotes a leaked draft of the latest report of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that purportedly warns of “irreversible climate impacts,” and “much sooner than originally expected, causing even more extreme weather patterns, unlivable heat, widespread disease, ecosystem collapse… Then it asks for money, because “this crisis is so very urgent.” Apparently sending them $3.50 will help to “prevent the worst impacts of the climate crisis.” That’s followed by this: “The last thing I want, Susan, is for you to read this email and come away from it feeling hopeless or discouraged.”

We’ve left the action movie and we’re in a comedy. The world is coming to an end, but gosh, chin up!

LINK TO SOURCE

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE YOUTUBE VIDEO SAYS

SEA LEVEL RISE CAUSED BY MELTING ICE SHEETS AND WARMING OCEANS IS GETTING WORSE ACCORDING TO A NEW REPORT FROM NASA, NOAA, AND OTHER FEDERAL AGENCIES. THE REPORT SHOWS THAT SEA LEVEL RISE IS ACCELERATING FASTER THAT PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT A FEW YEARS AGO. IT IS A DRAMATIC SHIFT IN SEA LEVEL RISE PROJECTIONS SINCE 2017. WE WERE SUPPOSED TO GET A THIRD OF A METER BY 2100 BUT NOW WE’RE SUPPOSED TO GET A THIRD OF A METER BY 2050. ACCORDING TO THE REPORT, MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR MORE THAN TEN TIMES AS OFTEN AS IT DOES TODAY IT IS SOBERING TO SEE THAT A 100 YEAR ACCELERATION IS NOW A 50 YEAR ACCELERATION. PAULA BON TEMPI, DEAN OF THE ORI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF OCEANOGRAPHY, SAID THAT CONFIDENCE OF THOSE FINDINGS IS HIGHER TOO. ABOUT A FOOT OF SEA LEVEL RISE MIGHT NOT SEEM LIKE MUCH BUT THAT COULD HAVE A DRAMATIC EFFECT IN OUR AREA WHERE 7,000 PROPERTIES ARE IMMEDIATELY AT RISK FROM SEA LEVEL RISE ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND COAST. A NOREASTER OR HURRICANE ON TOP OF THAT HIGHER WATER COULD ONLY MAKE THINGS WORSE ND THAT IS GOING TO MAKE A BIG CHANGE IN COASTAL FLOODING, COASTAL EROSION, AND IMPACT TO COASTAL ECONOMIES. PEOPLE’S HOMES, PEOPLE’S BUSINESSES, MILITARY INFRASTRUCTURE, SCHOOLS, AND THAT SEA LEVEL RISE IS GOING TO HAVE A TREMENDOUS IMPACT. NOW MORE THAN EVER WE NEED TO MANAGE ADAPT TO THE RISING SEAS.

PART-2: CRITICAL COMMENTARY

THAT THE CLIMATE SCIENCE FORECASTS CONTAIN SUCH LARGE UNCERTAINTIES THAT A 2017 FORECAST IS FOUND TO BE DEAD WRONG IN 2022 DOES NOT CREATE GREATER CREDIBILITY OF CLIMATE SCIENCE FORECASTS AND GREATER FEAR OF THOSE FORECASTS. IT EXPOSES THE IGNORANCE OF CLIMATE SCIENTISTS IN THE SEA LEVEL RISE ISSUE. THE RELEVANT INFORMATION HERE IS THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE INFORMATION ABOUT SEA LEVEL RISE CONTAINS LARGE UNCERTAINTIES AND IS THEREFORE NOT CREDIBLE.

PART-3: RELATED POSTS ON SEA LEVEL RISE

#1: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2022/02/17/a-new-sea-level-rise-alarm/

HERE WE FIND THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE, WHICH PREACHES THAT THE IMPACTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ARE UNDERSTOOD IN GLOBAL TERMS, ABANDONS THAT PRINCIPLE TO RAISE THE FEAR THAT GLOBAL WARMING WILL CAUSE SEA LEVEL RISE IN THE USA AND NOT GLOBALLY.

#2: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/08/06/the-sea-level-rise-issue/

#3: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/07/31/episodic-coastal-flooding/

#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/07/07/sea-level-rise-horror-of-july-2021/

#5: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/28/holocene-sea-level-rise/

#6: MUNK’S ENIGMA: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/10/spin/

#7: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/02/04/a-tcre-of-sea-level-rise/

#8: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/11/antarctica-ice-melt-sea-level-rise-2020/

#9: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/02/scary-sea-level-rise-by-2100/

#10: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/09/19/greenlands-future-sea-level-rise/

CONCLUSION

LARGE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE CLIMATE SCIENCE ESTIMATION OF SEA LEVEL RISE ATTRIURTBLE TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS AND THE FAILURE TO TAKE GEOLOGICAL DRIVERS INTO CONSIDERATION EXPLAINS THE FAILED CLIMATE SCIENCE SEA LEVEL RISE ACTIVISM AND THE CONTINUED EFFORTS EVEN WITH A FOOT OF SEA LEVEL RISE AND EVEN WITH LOCALIZED SEA LEVEL RISE THAT CANNOT BE UNDERSTOOD AS GLOBAL TO CREATE THE NEEDED FEAR AS MOTIVATION FOR THE CLIMATE ACTION THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE WANTS.



  • budbromley: https://budbromley.blog/2022/09/24/that-would-be-the-road-to-hell/
  • budbromley: Could be a good article for the Babylon Bee. Just left out the 97% joke and hockey stick. Instead, I see a ground swell of resistance, more deniers,
  • chaamjamal: IF THE SCIENCE IS GOOD SELL THE SCIENCE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE SCIENCE IF THE SCIENCE IS BAD, SELL THE SCIENCE BY DENIGRATING ITS CRITICS.