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Asia's Factories May Be Over Worst as China Demand Picks Up - Bloomberg


QUESTION:

If everyone but China did as much as they possibly could to combat climate change, how bad would things be?

ANSWER:

If everyone but China takes climate action to get rid of fossil fuels it would recreate THE COLONIALISM WORLD OF THE PAST but with China and not the Europeans in charge because it will move all industrial activity to China along with wealth and power.

IT WILL NOT CHANGE THE RATE OF WARMING BECAUSE THE EMISSIONS OF THE REST OF THE WORLD WILL NOT VANISH BUT SIMPLY MOVE TO CHINA JUST AS IT HAS BEEN DOING FOR DECADES.

LINKS TO RELATED POSTS:

A CLIMATE ACTION CATCH 22: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/05/22/climate-catch22/

guterres

THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION AND CLIMATE CHANGE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/08/the-industrial-revolution/

Industrial Revolution | Jasper Liang

A SMALL SAMPLE (3%) OF THE LONG AND GROWING LIST OF WESTERN BUSINESSES THAT OPERATE THEIR FACTORIES IN CHINA

Abercrombe & Fitch, Abbott Laboratories, Acer Electronics, Adidas, AGI- American Gem Institute, Agrilink Foods, Inc., Allergan Laboratories, American Eagle Outfitters, American Standard, American Tourister, Ames Tools, Amphenol Corporation, Amway Corporation, Analog Devices, Inc., Apple Computer, Armani, Armour Meats, Ashland Chemical, Ashley Furniture, Audi Motors, AudioVox, AutoZone, Inc., Avon, Banana Republic, Bausch & Lomb, Inc., Baxter International, Bed, Bath & Beyond, Belkin Electronics, Best Foods, Big 5 Sporting Goods, Black & Decker, Body Shop, Borden Foods, Briggs & Stratton, Calrad Electric, Campbell ‘s Soup, Canon Electronics, Carole Cable, Casio Instrument, Caterpillar, Inc., CBC America, CCTV Outlet, Checker Auto, Cisco Systems, Chiquita Brands International, Claire’s Boutique, Cobra Electronics, Coby Electronics, Coca Cola Foods, Colgate-Palmolive, Colorado Spectrum, ConAgra Foods, Cooper Tire, Corning, Inc., Coleman Sporting Goods, Compaq, Crabtree & Evelyn, Cracker Barrel Stores, Craftsman Tools, Cummins, Inc., Dannon Foods, Dell Computer, Del Monte Foods, Dewalt Tools, Dial Corporation, Diebold, Inc., Dillard’s, Inc., Dodge-Phelps, Dole Foods, Dow-Corning, Eastman Kodak, EchoStar, Eclipse CCTV, Edge Electronics Group, Electric Vehicles USA, Inc., Eli Lilly Company, Emerson Electric, Enfamil, Estee Lauder, Eveready, Fisher Scientific, Ford Motors, Frito Lay, Furniture Brands International, Gateway Computer, GE General Electric, General Foods International, General Mills, General Motors, Gentek, Gerber Foods, Gillette Company, Goodrich Company, Goodyear Tire, Gucci, Haagen-Dazs, Harley Davidson, Hasbro Company, Heinz Foods, Hershey Foods, Hitachi, Hoffman-LaRoche, Holt’s Automotive Products, Hormel Foods, Home Depot, Honda Motor, Hoover Vacuum, HP Computer, Honda, Honeywell, Hubbell Inc., Huggies, Hunts-Wesson Foods, ICON Office Solutions, IBM, Ikea, Intel Corporation, J.M. Smucker Company, John Deere, Johnson Control, Johnson & Johnson, Johnstone Supply, JVC Electronics, KB Home, Keebler Foods, Kenwood Audio, Kimberly Clark, Knorr Foods, Kohler, Kohl’s Corporation, Kraft Foods, Kragen Auto, Land’s End, Lee Kum Kee Foods, Lexmark, LG Electronics, Lipton Foods, L.L. Bean, Inc., Logitech, Libby’s Foods, Linen & Things, Lipo Chemicals, Inc., Lowe’s Hardware, Lucent Technologies, Lufkin, Mars Candy, Martha Stewart Products, Mattel, McCormick Foods, McKesson Corporation, Megellan GPS, Memorex, Merck & Company, Mitsubishi Electronics, Mitsubishi Motors, Mobile Oil, Molex, Motorola, Motts Applesauce, Multifoods Corporation, Nabisco Foods, National Semiconductor, Nescafe, Nestles Foods, Nextar, Nike, Nikon, Nivea Cosmetics, Nokia Electronics, Northrop Grumman Corporation, NuSkin International, Nvidia Corporation, Office Depot, Olin Corporation, Old Navy, Olympus Electronics, Orion-Knight Electronics, Pacific Sunwear, Inc., Pamper’s, Panasonic, Pan Pacific Electronics, Panvise, Papa Johns, Payless Shoesource, Pelco, Pentax Optics, Pep Boy’s, Pepsico International, Petco, Pfizer, Inc., Philips Electronics, Phillip Morris Companies, Pierre Cardin, Pillsbury Company, Pioneer Electronics, Pitney Bowes, Inc., Plantronics, PlaySchool Toys, Polaris Industries, Polaroid, Post Cereals, Pfister, Pringles, Praxair, Proctor & Gamble, PSS World Medical, Pyle Audio, Qualcomm, Quest One, Ralph Loren, RCA, Reebok International, Reynolds Aluminum, Revlon, Rohm & Hass Company, Samsonite, Samsung, Sanyo, Shell Oil, Schwinn Bike, Sears-Craftsman, Sharp Electronics, Sherwin-Williams, Shure Electronics, Sony, Speco Technologies, Skechers Footwear, SmartHome, Smucker’s, Solar Power, Inc., Stanley Tools, Staple’s, Steelcase, Inc., STP Oil, Sunkist Growers, SunMaid Raisins, Sunkist, Switchcraft Electronics, SYSCO Foods, Sylvania Electric, 3-M, Tamron Optics, TDK, Tektronix, Inc, Texas Instruments, Timex, Timken Bearing, Tommy Hilfiger, Toro, Toshiba, Tower Automotive, Toyota, Toy’s R Us, Inc., Tripp-lite, Tupper Ware, Tyson Foods, Uniden Electronics, Valspar Corporation, Victoria ‘s Secret, Vizio Electronics, Volkswagen, VTech, WD-40 Corporation, Weller Electric Company, Western Digital, Westinghouse Electric, Weyerhaeuser Company, Whirlpool, Wilson Sporting Goods, Wrigley, WW Grainger, Inc., Wyeth Laboratories, X-10, Xelite, Xerox, Yamaha, Yoplait Foods, Yum Brands, Zale Corporation.

Here are 4 big pollution problems EPA has (mostly) fixed already | Grist

AND THEN THERE CAME A SECOND QUESTION

QUESTION:

WOULD THE DISCOVERY OF A CHEAP, CLEAN, AND ENDLESS SOURCE OF ENERGY GIVE US A PARADISE?

ANSWER:

THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT FOSSIL FUELS HAVE DONE FOR US. THIS ENERGY SOURCE DID SUFFER FROM SERIOUS ENIVORNMMENTAL PROBLEMS AND THESE ISSUES LED TO ANTI FOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM AND THEREBY TO THE FORMATION OF THE EPA AND THE RESOLUTION OF THOSE ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES. BUT SO STRONG AND EMOTIONAL WAS OUR ANTIFOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM THAT IT HAS PERSISTED AND IN RESPONSE THE THE WORK OF THE EPA THAT RESOLVED THE ORIGINAL POLLUTION ISSUES, THE MOVEMENT HAS COME UP WITH INNOVATIVE NEW REASONS TO CONTINUE THEIR OPPOSITION TO FOSSIL FUELS.

Our Mission and What We Do | About EPA | US EPA

RELATED POST ON THE HISTORY OF ANTI FOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM:

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/23/anti-fossil-fuel-activism-disguised-as-climate-science/

EXCERPT:

The real movement is climate action, not climate change: The commonly held belief is that the issue in AGW climate change is climate and that therefore, the debate is about the details and the science of Anthropogenic Global Warming and climate change and about its fearful projections and impacts  formulated in terms of how dangerously warm it would get without the prescribed climate action. Here I present the case against this assumption and propose that the climate affair of our time is best understood not in terms of climate change but in terms of climate action. 

Climate Action is the underlying movement for which climate change serves only as the rationale and the motivation. Climate action is an expression of anti fossil fuel activism.  Anti fossil fuel activism is best understood in terms of the 1960s and 1970s anti smog, anti pollution, and anti oil spill movement that had won the pollution war and had assumed that they had won the war against fossil fuels  {the blogger was in that movement protesting in Berkeley, CA}. Thereafter, beginning in the late 1970s, the roots of a vibrant energy revolution were nurtured with great enthusiasm and great expectations. Renewable energy innovations held out the promise of the end of fossil fuels and the pollution they cause simply by the availability of a better product in the market for energy. 

An energy movement to renewable sources of “natural energy” such as wind, solar, hydro, tidal, and geothermal took hold and grew rapidly with forecasts of a renewable energy revolution and the end of fossil fuels. The hills along the highway from Berkeley to Sacramento California became dotted with wind turbines and in Northern Sonoma County, California a geothermal power plant began supplying electricity to the grid. At the same time, the so called “peak oil” and “end oil” forecasts of the coming depletion of fossil fuel resources began to appear in the news simultaneously with the Club of Rome report of the imminent depletion of the essential resources that sustain the industrial economy. These forecasts, along with energy crises of the OPEC oil embargo of 1973 and the uprising against the Shah of Iran in 1979, had created a crisis in the fossil fuel industry that was perceived as a weakness in Big Oil. This condition of the once vibrant energy sector led to forecasts of its eventual demise, and the search was on for alternatives to fossil fuels.

The pollution and oil spill issues and the energy crises of the 1970s created a feeling among consumers, energy analysts, and energy activists alike that fossil fuels were on the way out. It was thought to be axiomatic, particularly so among the anti pollution & anti fossil fuel activists, that the clean energy alternatives that were then being developed and implemented would be our energy future. It seemed certain then that the days of our fossil fueled economy were numbered and that a new age of renewable energy was dawning .

It was in this context of an exciting anticipation of an energy technology revolution that would end the age of fossil fuels, that the climate change issue was inserted into the energy dialog.

Students Worldwide Skip School to Protest Global Warming | Voice of America  - English

AND THEN THERE CAME A THIRD QUESTION

QUESTION;

HOW DOES CLIMATE CHANGE OCCUR?

ANSWER:

  1. WE BURN FOSSIL FUELS MADE WITH CARBON THAT IS MILLIONS OF YEARS OLD AND NOT PART OF THE CURRENT ACCOUNT OF THE CARBON CYCLE.
  2. HALF THE CARBON DIOXIDE PUT INTO THE ATMOSPHERE THIS WAY STAYS IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND CAUSES ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION TO RISE.
  3. THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION CAUSES THE GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE TO BE HIGHER THAN IT WOULD BE OTHERWISE SUCH THAT GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERAURE (GMST) IS PROPORTIONAL TO THE LOGARITHM OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION.
  4. AND SO THE MORE FOSSIL FUELS WE BURN THE HIGHER THE ATMOSPHERIC CO2 AND THE HIGHER THE GMST.
  5. THIS SEQUENCE OF HIGHER AND HIGHER GMST IS UNDERSTOOD AS GLOBAL WARMING AND BECAUSE IT IS HUMAN CAUSED WE CALL IT ANHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING OR AGW.
  6. AS GMST RISES, WEATHER PATTERNS BEGIN TO CHANGE AND LONGER TERM BEHAVIOR OF REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGES TO AN UNNATURAL ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE STATES THAT COULD HAVE DISASTROUS CONSEQUENCES FOR LIFE ON EARTH.
  7. THESE FORECASTS OF DISASTER MEAN THAT WE MUST STOP BURNING FOSSIL FUELS TO STOP THESE DANGEROUS TRENDS
  8. THAT’S WHAT THEY SAY, ANYWAY. MY PERSONAL VIEW IS THAT IT IS A CONTINUATION OF THE ANTI FOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM OF THE 1970S AND 1980S BECAUSE SOME POEPLE JUST DON’T LIKE FOSSIL FUELS.

LINK TO DOCUMENT ON ANTI FOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/23/anti-fossil-fuel-activism-disguised-as-climate-science/

Solar Cycle 25 Shows Signs of Life: "New Best Fit" Released - Electroverse
Multiple Cold Records Toppled in British Columbia - Grand Solar Minimum -  Electroverse | Solar activity, Physics department, British columbia
Solar Activity just reached a new Space Age Low - Electroverse

THIS POST IS A PRESENTATION OF RELATED POSTS ON THIS SITE THAT PROVIDE CRITICAL EVALUATIONS OF THE CASE AGAINST THE CATASTROPHIC PREDICTIONS OF HUMAN CAUSED GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN TERMS OF COUNTER PREDICTIONS THAT THE WARMING IS OVER AND THAT WE ARE “ENTERING A COOLING PHASE” BECAUSE THE EARTH’S LONG TERM SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS CYCLICAL AND DRIVEN BY THE SUNSPOT CYCLE WITH NO ROLE FOR ATMOSPHERIC CO2.

RELATED POST#1: 2019 ENTERING A COOLING PHASE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/07/23/cooling/

UAH global mean lower troposphere temperature anomalies 1979-2019 and their decadal trends are studied for signs that what has been a warming trend has changed or is changing into a cooling trend. No such evidence is found in the data. The chart summarizing the findings is reproduced below. Details in the linked post above.

COUNTS

RELATED POST#2: GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM GLOBAL COOLING: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/06/16/a-grand-solar-minimum/

SUMMARY, AS IN THE SIMILAR STUDY OF 2019 [LINK] , WE FIND NO EVIDENCE IN UAH LOWER TROPOSPHERE DATA FOR GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE (LAND AND OCEAN), OR FOR LAND ONLY, THAT THE “COMING GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM” HAS IMPOSED A COOLING TREND OR IS IMPOSING A COOLING TREND IN GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURES. 

THE EVIDENCE FOR “THE COMING COOLING OF THE GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM” IS PRESENTED IN TERMS OF THE BRIEF AND LOCALIZED COOLING THAT CAN ONLY BE UNDERSTOOD AS INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABIITY. NO RATIONALE IS PROVIDED FOR THE INTERPRETATION OF THESE BRIEF EVENTS IN TERMS OF AGW CLIMATE CHANGE OR THE GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM. BOTH OF THESE THEORIES RELATE TO LONG TERM TRENDS IN GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE. 

THE SOLAR CYCLE CHART PROVIDED BY THE AUTHORS TO SUPPORT THEIR HYPOTHESIS IS REPRODUCED BELOW.

RELATED POST ON INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/07/16/the-internal-variability-issue/

RELATED POST #3: THE TIME SCALE OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE SOLAR CYCLE AND GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE (GMST): LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/06/19/sunspots/

HERE WE NOTE AS FOLLOWS: THE SOLAR CYCLE AND THE “COMING COOLING” ARGUMENT AGAINST THE AGW CO2 DRIVEN GLOBAL WARMING HYPOTHESIS PROPOSE THAT THE OBSERVED WARMING IS DRIVEN BY THE SOLAR CYCLE AND THAT THIS THEORY WILL BE PROVEN CORRECT WHEN THE SOLAR MINIMUM ARRIVES AND THE WORLD COOLS AS IT HAD DONE IN THE MAUNDER MINIMUM LITTLE ICE AGE, AND THAT THE SOLAR CYCLE MINIMUM AND THEREFORE THE COOLING IS IMMINENT OR PERHAPS ALREADY UNDER WAY.

This solar cycle theory of temperature trends implies that surface temperature is responsive to the solar cycle. In the relared post linked above, we test this claimed relationship with correlation and regression analysis of the long run Central England Temperature series (CET: 1750-2018) against the corresponding sunspot data from SILSO. The calendar months are studied separately as it is found that the behavior of both time series (sunspots and CET) used in this work vary significantly among the calendar months. The claimed relationship between sunspots and temperaure are studied at 11-year and 22-year time scales in accordance with a claim by solar cycle theorists that the effect of the solar cycle on temperature is cumulative such that it is necessary to study this relationship at these longer time scales.

The 22-year time scale is supported by NASA in their explanation of the Maunder Minimum by author Drew Shindell: LINK: https://visibleearth.nasa.gov/images/7122/chilly-temperatures-during-the-maunder-minimum

THE BOTTOM LINE HERE IS THE CORRELATION BETWEEN SUNSPOT COUNT AND SURFACE TEMPERATURE.

IN THE RELATED POST LINKED ABOVE WE FIND A STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION AT TIME SCALES OF 11 AND 22 YEARS BOTH IN THE SOURCE DATA AND IN THE DETRENDED SERIES AT THE FULL 270-YEAR TIME SPAN OF THE DATA. HOWEVER, AS THE TIME SPAN IS REDUCED FROM 270 YEARS THE CORRELATION WEAKENS UNTIL IT BECOMES STATISTICALLY INSIGNIFICANT AT A TIME SPANS OF LESS THAN 200 YEARS.

THE IMPLICATION OF THESE FINDINGS FOR “THE COMING SOLAR CYCLE COOLING” ENTHUSIASM AMONG CLIMATE CHANGE SKEPTICS IS THAT THE TIME SCALE OF THE DATA USED IN THE ANALYSIS IS NOT LONG ENOUGH FOR THE SOLAR CYCLE EFFECT. A POSSIBLE EXPLANATION FOR THE TIME SPAN EFFECT IS CHAOTIC BEHAVIOR OF THE TIME SERIES. IN ANOTHER RELATED POST WE SHOW THAT THE SOLAR CYCLE TIME SERIES CONTAINS A HURST PERSISTENCE THAT IMPOSES CHAOTIC BEHAVIOR IN THE DATA. LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/26/a-chaotic-solar-cycle/

SILSO-ANNUAL-GIF

What is the CO2 concentration by altitude and why? - Earth Science Stack  Exchange

THIS POST IS A CRITICAL EVALUATION OF THE PROPOSITION SEEN IN ONLINE CLIMATE CHANGE DISCUSSIONS THAT THE MOLECULAR WEIGHTS OF CO2, OXYGEN, AND NITROGEN ARE APPROXIMATELY 44, 16, AND 14 AND THAT THE RELATIVELY HIGH MOLECULAR WEIGHT AND MASS OF CO2 IMPLIES THAT CO2 IS TOO HEAVY TO BE A PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND THAT THEREFORE IT SHOULD JUST DROP TO THE GROUND; AND THAT THEREFORE THERE CAN BE NO WARMING EFFECT OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2.

RELATED WORK IN THE LITERATURE: SOURCE: Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 3861–3878, 2017 http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/17/3861/2017/ doi:10.5194/acp-17-3861-2017

Abstract. In this study, we construct a new monthly zonal mean carbon dioxide (CO2) distribution from the upper troposphere to the stratosphere over the 2000–2010 time period. This reconstructed CO2 product is based on a Lagrangian backward trajectory model driven by ERA-Interim reanalysis meteorology and tropospheric CO2 measurements. Comparisons of our CO2 product to extratropical in situ measurements from aircraft transects and balloon profiles show remarkably good agreement. The main features of the CO2 distribution include (1) relatively large mixing ratios in the tropical stratosphere; (2) seasonal variability in the extratropics, with relatively high mixing ratios in the summer and autumn hemisphere in the 15–20 km altitude layer; and (3) decreasing mixing ratios with increasing altitude from the upper troposphere to the middle stratosphere (∼35 km). These features are consistent with expected variability due to the transport of long-lived trace gases by the stratospheric Brewer–Dobson circulation. The method used here to construct this CO2 product is unique from other modelling efforts and should be useful for model and satellite validation in the upper troposphere and stratosphere as a prior for inversion modelling and to analyse features of stratosphere– troposphere exchange as well as the stratospheric circulation and its variability.

Atmospheric concentration of CO2 as a function of altitude | 667 per  centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy  policy

The increase in carbon dioxide in Earth's mid-troposphere from 2002 to 2013  – AIRS

IN THE ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSAL THAT CO2 IS TOO HEAVY TO HAVE A HEAT TRAPPING ROLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE, WE FIND THAT THE HIGHER MOLECULAR WEIGHT AND MASS OF CARBON DIOXIDE IMPLIES ONLY A VERTICAL PATTERN IN ITS CONCENTRATION FROM THE SURFACE TO 3,000 METERS ABOVE GIVE OR TAKE WITH THE TREND HIGHER IN THE ATMOSPHERE AT UNDETECTABLE LEVELS. IT IS TRUE THAT THE MOLECULAR WEIGHT ISSUE HAS AN EFFECT ON CO2 DISTRIBUTION IN THE ATMOSPHERE BUT NO EVIDENCE IS FOUND THAT THIS EFFECT MAKES THE HEAT TRAPPING EFFECT OF CARBON DIOXIDE IRRELEVANT IN THE CLIMATE CHANGE CONTEXT.

THIS POST IS A COMMENTARY ON THE WORLD’S MOST VIEWED SITE ON GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE: LINK: http://wattsupwiththat.com . Though a frequent visitor to the world’s most viewed site on global warming and climate change, I did not learn until recently why it is called the ” the world’s most viewed site on global warming and climate change”.

One day while visiting the site I left a comment that contained a link to one of my posts that I thought was relevant to the ongoing conversation at the site.

The next few days I found that the linked document alone was getting more than twice the views per day as my whole blog normally gets.

And now we know why they call it the most viewed site on global warming and climate change.

June 11, 2001: George W. Bush's remarks on climate change Video - ABC News

PRESIDENT GEORGE W BUSH WAS WIDELY HELD AS A CLIMATE DENIER AND DURING HIS PRESIDENCY 2001 TO 2009, CLIMATE SCIENTISTS AND EVEN THE PENTAGON HAD RIDICULED HIM BY MAKING SOME ALARMING CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT FORECASTS FOR THE YEAR 2020. THIS POST IS A PRESENTATION OF THESE FORECASTS.

FORECAST#1: BY THE YEAR 2020, EUROPEAN CITIES WILL BE SUBMERGED UNDER SEA LEVEL RISE.

Climate change IS to blame for rising sea levels – as risk of  'megatsunamis' grows

WHAT WE FIND IN 2021 IS THAT THE 2004 FORECAST DID NOT MATERIALIZE BUT THE FORECAST THAT EUROPE IS AT RISK OF BEING SUBMERGED UNDER SEA LEVEL RISE HAS PERSISTED UNCHANGED TO THIS DAY. THE PATTERN WHERE FAILED FORECASTS ARE SIMPLY SHIFTED FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE IS ENDEMIC IN CLIMATE SCIENCE.

FORECAST#2: BY THE YEAR 2020, GLOBAL PEACE AND ORDER WILL COLLAPSE TO CREATE A SITUATION THAT IS WORSE THAN TERRORISM.

The September 11th terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center | Pictures -  ABC7 New York

IN THOSE DAYS WITH THE USA STILL REELING FROM THE 9/11 TERRORISM ATTACKS, US POLICY FOCUS AND DISCUSSION WAS TERRORISM. PREDICTABLY, CLIMATE CHANGE ALARMISM OF THE TIME HAD THEREFORE ADOPTED THE TERRORISM TOPIC AND MADE SCARY FORECASTS OF HOW A WARMING WORLD WILL CREATE CLIMATE TERRORISTS AND THEREBY INCREASE THE FREQUENCY AND DESTRUCTIVENESS OF TERRORISM. IT WAS THOUGHT THAT THE TERRORISM FEAR OF CLIMATE CHANGE WILL SOFTEN THE CLIMATE DENIALISM OF GEORGE BUSH BUT IT DID NOT WORK OUT THAT WAY. OLD GEORGE WAS A DENIER TO THE END.

FORECAST#3: CLIMATE CHANGE WILL CREATE WARS AND NATURAL DISASTERS AND BY THE YEAR 2020, MILLIONS OF LIVES WILL BE LOST DUE TO WARS AND NATURAL DISASTERS.

Climate Wars: The Fight for Survival as the World Overheats: Dyer, Gwynne:  9781851688142: Amazon.com: Books

THERE HAVE BEEN OF COURSE MANY CLAIMS POST HOC THAT EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS AND WILDFIRES WERE CAUSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE BUT THE POST HOC ATTRIBUTION OF THESE EVENTS CONTAIN THREE FLAWS. FIRST, THESE HYPOTHESES ARE NOT TESTABLE BECAUSE A HYPOTHESIS DERIVED FROM THE DATA CANNOT BE TESTED WITH THE SAME DATA AND ALSO THE CLAIM AND EXPECTATION OF CLIMATE WARS HAS YET TO BEAR FRUIT. BUT SO FAR NO EVIDENCE HAS BEEN PRESENTED BY CLIMAE SCIENCE OR THE PENTAGON THAT MILLIONS OF LIVES HAVE BEEN LOST DUE TO THE EXTREME WEATHER IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE.

FORECAST#4: MEGA DROUGHTS AND FAMINE THAT WILL LEAD TO NUCLEAR WAR.

When Carl Sagan Warned the World About Nuclear Winter | Science |  Smithsonian Magazine

TO BE BRIEF, THIS ONE WAS A NO SHOW.

FORECAST#5: CLIMATE CHANGE WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD RIOTING AROUND THE WORLD

Environmental stress is already causing death – this chaos map shows where

THE ONLY RIOTING FOUND IN THE FORECAST PERIOD ARE THOSE CARRIED OUT BY CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIVISTS SUCH AS EXTINCTION REBELLION.

FORECAST#6: ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE WILL DESTROY CIVILIZATION AND CREATE ANARCHY.

Human Vulnerability to Climate Change

AS IN THE RIOTING EXAMPLE ABOVE, THE ONLY ANARCHY WE HAVE SEEN WAS CARRIED OUT BY CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIVISTS.

FORECAST #7: AS PEOPLE START RUNNING OUT OF FOOD, WATER, AND ENERGY THERE WILL BE WIDESPREAD RIOTING AND WARFARE THAT WILL LEAD TO NUCLEAR CONFLICT.

War in the Middle East and climate change - netivist

NO EVENT IN THE FORECAST PERIOD CAN BE DESCRIBED AS RIOTING AND WARFARE CAUSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE.

FORECAST#8: HUMAN CIVILIZATION WILL BE GONE AND REPLACED WITH A STATE OF WARFARE. ESSENTIALLY, IT WAS POSTULATED THAT CLIMATE CHANGE WILL DESTROY HUMAN CIVILIZATION AND WE WILL HAVE TO START ALL OVER FROM OUR CAVEMAN DAYS.

Climate change apocalypse could start by 2050 if we do nothing

BRIEFLY, NOTHING LIKE THAT HAS HAPPENED. SADLY FOR THE PENTAGON AND THE CLIMATE SCIENTISTS THEY WORKED WITH, THEIR FORECASTS HAVE BEEN DISMAL FAILURES.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION:

THE ODDITY HERE IS THAT THESE FAILURES HAVE NOT DISCOURAGED CLIMATE SCIENCE TO KEEP RE-DATING THEIR DOOM AND GLOOM TO KEEP MOVING THESE FORECASTS FURTHER AND FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE. AND SO HERE WE ARE AND THE EARTH IS STILL BEAUTIFUL. LIFE IS GOOD AND THE LIVING IS EASY BUT THE FUTURE CONTINUES TO BE GLOOM AND DOOM.

Top 50 Best Small Towns to Visit US | United States Vacation Destinations  and Guides : TravelChannel.com | Travel Channel

New Zealand Is Planting 1 Billion Trees to Fight Climate Change | Trees to  plant, Climate change, Climates

THIS POST IS A REVIEW OF THE ENVIRONMENTALISM PROPOSAL THAT PLANTING TREES IS CLIMATE ACTION

The connection between climate science and eco wacko climate activism

The connection here is the carbon cycle with specific reference to photosynthesis and the sequestration of carbon dioxide in soils. In this contextthe eco wackos claim that climate change is an environmentalism issue where human activity has interfered with nature’s ability to remove and sequester CO2. The environmentalism sin in this case is deforestation. It follows then that therefore the solution to climate change lies in the envornmentalism of humans backing off from their destruction of forests and planting more trees. That is, to fight climate change, humans must adopt a more eco friendly lifestyle that will allow the forests to recover that will in turn increase CO2 sequestration in the soil.

The Power of Trees | Climate Matters

This eco wacko science of climate change presents the climate action needed as a more eco wacko relationship between humans and forests in which humans can take climate action simply by curtailing deforestation and by planting trees. This view, that planting trees is the climate action needed derives from an eco wacko view of the global warming issue. Here we present the available data for trees and photosynthesis and show that this view of climate change and climate action is inconsistent with the data.

How Is Eco-Anxiety Tied To Climate Change? - Science World

THE DATA ARE AS FOLLOWS

  1. THERE ARE 8.7E9 HECTARES OF LAND ON EARTH WHERE TREES CAN BE GROWN.
  2. OF THAT, 5.5E9 HECTARES ALREADY HAVE TREES.
  3. THIS MEANS THAT THE MAXIMUM PHOTOSYNTHESIS IMPACT OF HUMANS PLANTING TREES IS (8.7-5.5)/8.7 OR LESS THAN 37%. OF TOTAL LAND PHOTOSYNTHESIS.
  4. HOWEVER, 50% TO 80% OF THE WORLD’S PHOTOSYNTHESIS IS IN THE OCEAN. TAKING THE MIDPOINT OF THIS RANGE WE CAN SAY THAT ON AVERAGE THE OCEAN PROVIDES 65% OF PHOTOSYNTHESIS AND LAND ONLY 35%.
  5. THEREFORE, THE MAXIMUM HUMAN IMPACT OF PLANTING TREES IS TO INCREASE PHOTOSYNTHESIS BY 37% OF 35% OR ABOUT 13% AT MOST.
  6. THIS MAXIMUM POSSIBLE IMPACT OF HUMANS PLANTING TREES IS WELL WITHIN THE UNCERTAINTY RANGE OF GLOBAL PHOTOSYNTHESIS ESTIMATIONS.
  7. THEREFORE NO MEASURABLE OR STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT PHOTOSYNTHESIS EFFECT IS POSSIBLE BY HUMANS PLANTING TREES.
  8. AS DESCRIBED IN A RELATED POST, THE CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUE IS SPECIFIC TO THE BURNING OF FOSSIL FUELS BY HUMANS SINCE THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION AND THE CLIMATE ACTION DEMANDED BY CLIMATE SCIENCE IS A CESSATION OF BURNING FOSSIL FUELS. LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/06/19/vegandiet/
Planet Releaf – Planting One Million Trees
Eco-Anxiety Is On The Rise. Here's What You Need To Know | HuffPost UK Life

Flirting with the 1.5°C Threshold | Climate Central

QUESTION: WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF GMST RISES MORE THAN 1.5C SINCE PRE INDUSTRIAL?

ANSWER

In 2018 climate scientists determined that if gmst (global mean surface temperature) is allowed to rise more than 1.5C since pre-industrial then natural feedbacks will take over from fossil fuel emissions as the primary drivers of warming such that climate change will no longer be in human hands and it can no longer be attenuated by cutting emissions. It will be a one way road to hell with no alternative.

However there are some un-answered questions in this scenario. For example, when was this critical pre industrial year? and what was the temperature then? The IPCC initially said that the pre industrial year was 1760 but in the next ipcc report they changed their mind and said it was 1850. The problem with these very old years for the pre industrial time when human caused global warming began is that it falls prior to what climate science calls the ETCW ANOMALY, Early Twentieth Century Warming. It is a reference to the inability of the theory of AGW to explain the warming from pre industrial to 1950. As a result of this contradiction, many climate scientists and NASA have determined that the relevant pre industrial year is 1950. The extreme uncertainty in the determination of the pre industrial year makes it difficult to understand the certainty and precision of the “1.5C since pre industrial” argument.

Defining a true 'pre-industrial' climate period - BBC News

What’s more, the critical amount of warming since pre industrial now stated as 1.5C is just one of 5 such numbers that climate science had proposed at different times. The other four values for the critical amount of warming since pre industrial that will activate natural feedbacks are 2C, 3C, 4C, and 5C. The mean and standard deviation of these assessments yield a p-value clost to 0.1 and therefore do not indicate that they contain useful information.

Therefore the real information contained in these estimates is that we don’t really know. Overlooking uncertainty to pick the scariest number is not unusual in environmentalism of course where the precautionary principle is invoked but the enormous cost of the climate action demanded requires better evidence than the precautionary principle.

Climate change isn't fair | Global Environment Facility

LINKS TO RELATED POSTS ON THIS SITE:

LINK#1: THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/05/the-null-hypothesis-issue/

LINK#2: THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/12/27/superstitious-humans/

LINK#3: WHAT SCIENTISTS KNOW FOR SURE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/12/25/earth-day-wisdom/

Finally the correct words to articulate our fatal population growth dilemma

WE ARE RUNNING OUT OF TIME SO WE CAN’T REALLY QUIBBLE ABOUT THE SCIENCE ALTHOUGH IT IS THE SCIENCE THAT GIVES US THE LEGITIMACY WE NEED TO DEMAND TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF CLIMATE ACTION.

THIS POST IS A CRITICAL REVIEW OF THE OUTRAGE IN THE GLOBAL NORTH ABOUT AFRICA’S FAILURE TO TAKE CLIMATE ACTION AND THE RESPONSE BY AN AFRICAN IN THE YOUTUBE VIDEO BELOW.

THE ISSUE AS DESCRIBED BY THE UNDP ON THE THE CLIMATE ACTION LAGGARDS IN AFRICA AND THE GLOBAL SOUTH IN GENERAL. THE CONTRADICTION HERE IS THAT UNDP IS A DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE AGENCY OF THE UN THAT HAS NOW TURNED AGAINST DEVELOPMENT OF POOR COUNTRIES BY VIRTUE OF ITS CLIMATE AGENDA. THIS CONTRADICTION IN THE UNDP IS DETAILED IN A RELATED POST: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/03/06/sdg/

WHAT THE UNDP SAYS ON THIS ISSUE: There is no country that is not experiencing the drastic effects of climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions are more than 50 percent higher than in 1990. Global warming is causing long-lasting changes to our climate system, which threatens irreversible consequences if we do not act. The annual average economic losses from climate-related disasters are in the hundreds of billions of dollars. This is not to mention the human impact of geo-physical disasters, which are 91 percent climate-related, and which between 1998 and 2017 killed 1.3 million people, and left 4.4 billion injured. The goal aims to mobilize US$100 billion annually by 2020 to address the needs of developing countries to both adapt to climate change and invest in low-carbon development. Supporting vulnerable regions will directly contribute not only to Goal 13 but also to the other SDGs. These actions must also go hand in hand with efforts to integrate disaster risk measures, sustainable natural resource management, and human security into national development strategies. It is still possible, with strong political will, increased investment, and using existing technology, to limit the increase in global mean temperature to two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, aiming at 1.5°C, but this requires urgent and ambitious collective action.

WITH REFERENCE TO: “The goal aims to mobilize US$100 billion annually by 2020 to address the needs of developing countries to both adapt to climate change and invest in low-carbon development. Supporting vulnerable regions will directly contribute not only to Goal 13 but also to the other SDGs”, THIS IS AN IMAGINARY PROPOSAL THAT THE UN HAD ARBITRARILY INCLUDED IN ITS CLIMATE CHANGE AGENDA MORE THAN 20 YEARS AGO WITHOUT ANY SUPPORT FROM THE LISTED DONORS AND WITHOUT ANY SUCCESS IN EITHER COLLECTING OR DISTRIBUTING ANY OF THESE FUNDS.

WHAT THE AFRICAN REPRESENATIVE SAYS IN THE VIDEO BELOW:

Californians use more electricity playing video games than the total energy consumption of the entire country of Senegal. Only 3% of Nigernans have air conditioners. There is a mind blowing gap between the energy haves and the energy have nots. It is in this context that we must understand the conflict between the UNDP’s demand for African climate action and the reality on the ground in Africa.

THIS GAP BETWEEN THE GLOBAL NORTH AND THE GLOBAL SOUTH IS FURTHER EXPLORED IN THIS RELATED POST: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/08/the-industrial-revolution/ THERE WE NOTE AS FOLLOWS:

The climate crisis and the climate crisis movement against fossil fuels are both creations of the Global North and they are relevant only to the Global North in terms of the context of rewind and do the Industrial Revolution correctly because the Industrial Revolution is a creation of the Global North and their love hate relationship with it can only be understood in that context. 

Therefore, although climate change is a global issue, its cause and the need for climate action as stated in AGW science can only be understood as a Global North issueIf the Global North needs to cut emissions in the Global South it must do so at no cost or hardship to be borne by the Global South. In addition, if the Global North admits that they screwed up their Industrial Revolution and caused global harm, they must pay the appropriate compensation to the affected.

Third World poverty is on the run

8 incredibly dumb theories famous scientists actually believed

THIS POST ADDS TO THE LIST OF POSTS ON THIS SITE IN WHICH CLIMATE SCIENTISTS CLAIM THAT WHAT WE MUST FEAR IS THEIR IGNORANCE BECAUSE THE LESS THEY KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS. IT IS A REFERENCE TO AN ONLINE ARTICLE THAT SAYS THAT WHAT’S REALLY SCARY ABOUT THE GLACIAL MELT EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IS THAT CLIMATE SCIENTISTS DON’T REALLY UNDERSTAND IT AND THAT THEY HAVE FAILED TO ACCURATELY PROJECT GLACIAL MELT BASED ON THE GLACIAL MELT EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CONTAINED IN THEIR CLIMATE MODELS.

LINK TO SOURCE: https://edition.cnn.com/2021/04/29/weather/glacier-melt-faster-rate-scn/index.html

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE ARTICLE SAYS

Glaciers are melting much faster than expected, study finds. A new study indicates that the speed of glacier melt has “doubled over the past two decades” — far faster than anticipated or previously measured. In the study, published in the journal Nature, the authors utilized multiple NASA satellite datasets dating back to 2000. Obtaining accurate measurements of glacier melt, or glacier mass loss, has been difficult, the authors said. Glaciers are generally found in incredibly remote or inaccessible locations, meaning that only a few hundred of the over 200,000 glaciers are routinely monitored. This September 2017 photo provided by researcher Brian Menounos shows the Klinaklini glacier in British Columbia, Canada. The glacier and the adjacent icefield have lost nearly 16 billion tons of snow and ice since 2000.
This September 2017 photo provided by researcher Brian Menounos shows the Klinaklini glacier in British Columbia, Canada. The glacier and the adjacent icefield have lost nearly 16 billion tons of snow and ice since 2000.
However, by utilizing the satellite datasets from NASA, they were able to show that glaciers lost roughly 5,073 gigatonnes of mass from 2000 to 2019 — or 11,180,000,000,000,000 pounds. That’s roughly the equivalent of 553,465,346 Eiffel Towers. From 2000 to 2019, the rate of glacier melt accelerated from an estimated .36 meters per year to .69 meters per year, the authors wrote. A third of Antarctic ice shelf risks collapse as our planet warms. A third of Antarctic ice shelf risks collapse as our planet warms. In turn, the authors believe that glacier melt has contributed to an estimated 21% of sea level rise since 2000 — almost a quarter of an inch. They discovered that the most rapid increase in glacier melt took place in Alaska, western Canada and the United States. In New Zealand, glaciers are believed to have melted at almost seven times the rate between 2015 and 2019 compared to the turn of the century. Reduction in global glaciers is one of the most direct consequences of a warming planet and one of the key indicators of climate change, according to scientists. Although the authors did not study the cause of the glacier melting, they did indicate that the areas where glaciers shrunk experienced changes in long-term precipitation and temperature, which are consistent with climate change. In calculating the glacier melt rates, the 11 authors wrote that they hope it contributes to more accurate projections for sea level rise and water management.

PART-2: OTHER EXAMPLES OF IGNORANCE FEAROLOGY IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

(1) THE LESS WE KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/11/03/lessweknow/

(2) THE DEARTH OF SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE ONLY ADDS TO THE ALARM: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/05/22/global-warming-science-2007-the-dearth-of-scientific-knowledge-only-adds-to-the-alarm/

(3) THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/05/the-null-hypothesis-issue/

PART-3: SUMMARY OF THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

IN HYPOTHESIS TESTS, THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN MUST BE THE ALTERNATE HYPOTHESIS AND ITS NEGATION THEN BECOMES THE NULL HYPOTHESIS. THE UNBIASED DATA COLLECTION MUST THEN PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT EVIDENCE TO REJECT THE NULL IN ORDER TO ACCEPT THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN. THIS PROCEDURE IS CORRUPTED IN CLIMATE SCIENCE WHERE THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN IS TAKEN AS THE NULL HYPOTHESIS. THIS STATISTICAL ERROR IS RATIONALIZED WITH THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPAL. IT IS THIS ERROR IN STATISTICS THAT LEADS CLIMATE SCIENCE TO THE ODD LOGIC IN RESEARCH THAT THE LESS THEY KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS. DETAILS IN THE DOCUMENT LINKED ABOVE.

PART-4: RELATED POST ON THE POLAR ICE MELT ALARM OF CLIMATE SCIENCE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/07/climate-change-threatens-polar-ice/

THERE WE SHOW THAT BOTH POLAR REGIONS ARE GEOLOGICALLY VERY ACTIVE AND GEOLOGICAL EVENTS THERE ARE IMPORTANT IN THE UNDERSTANDING OF ICE MELT EVENTS. A SINGLE MINDED PRE-CONCEIVED IDEA THAT ALL ICE MELT EVENTS THERE CAN AND MUST BE EXPLAINED IN TERMS OF ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING CANNOT BE DESCRIBED AS UNBIASED AND OBJECTIVE SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY AND IS THEREFORE NOT CREDIBLE.

Cognitive Biases in Data Science | FlyData | Real Time MySQL Replication to  Amazon Redshift

What exactly is climate change? What is causing this to happen? Are you sure this isn’t part of a natural cycle?

  1. What exactly is climate change? Global mean surface temperature (GMST) has been steadily rising since either 1760 or 1850 or 1900 or 1950 or the 1970s according to climate scientists. They aren’t sure which year is the correct start year but the rise in GMST is causing changes in regional climate patterns and so it can be understood as global warming or climate change.
  2. What is causing this to happen? Climate scientists have determined that whenever the current warming did start, there is a sufficient overlap of the warming with the Industrial Economy when the GLOBAL NORTH had started to burn fossil fuels. The carbon in fossil fuels is millions of years old and not part of the current account of the carbon cycle and so the CO2 from burning fossil fuels is an external and unnatural perturbation of the carbon cycle and it therefore causes atmospheric CO2 concentration to rise from year to year and that in turn causes global mean surface temperature (GMST) to rise rise year to year by way of the greenhouse effect of atmospheric CO2. The sequence of higher and higher GMST is understood as global warming and the impact of warming on climate is understood as climate change.
  3. Are you sure this isn’t part of a natural cycle? Climate scientists have collected paleo proxy data for GMST going back thousands of years through the whole of the current Interglacial called the Holocene. The data are available in this linked document: A Chaotic Holocene Climate? https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/06/11/chaoticholocene/ What we find in these data is that over the 10,000 years or so of the Holocene Interglacial since deglaciation had ended and stabilized, GMST has not been the same but that the whole of the 10,000 years of the Holocene has been a series of chaotic GMST cycles at centennial and millennial time scales alternating between warming and cooling with a GMST range of 3.5C. Skeptics cite these temperature cycles to claim that the current warming period can be understood as a natural cycle. However, climate science has determined that the GMST in the current warming is too high to be part of that natural cycle and that therefore it must have been caused by the industrial economy burning fossil fuels. The NOAA position on this issue is that the Holocene warm period called the Holocene Climate Optimum that gave birth to human civilization was as warm as the current warm period. The climate science position on that issue is that this warming isn’t done yet and it will get warmer.
The Holocene Climate Optimum: A Bibliography | Thongchai Thailand



  • Anders Rasmusson: Chaamjamal, thank you, it’s my pleasure trying to present the circumstances in a way I would have done if still in operation as an chemical process
  • chaamjamal: Thank you for your detailed respinse.We see things differently I guess.
  • Anders Rasmusson: Chaamjamal : ”What about the climate science position that the airborne fraction is 50%? .... please see .....” Comments : Detrending, Monte