Thongchai Thailand

DOES SO2 CAUSE GLOBAL WARMING OR DOES IT CAUSE GLOBAL COOLING?

Posted on: January 15, 2022

FIRST THE GLOBAL WARMING ARGUMENT: LINK TO SOURCE: https://tools.niehs.nih.gov/cchhl/index.cfm?do=main.detail&reference_id=8437

WHAT THE SOURCE ARTICLE SAYS

Global climate change, prior to the 20th century, appears to have been initiated primarily by major changes in volcanic activity. Sulfur dioxide (SO2) is the most voluminous chemically active gas emitted by volcanoes and is readily oxidized to sulfuric acid normally within weeks. Even trace amounts o SO2 exert significant influence on climate. All major historic volcanic eruptions have formed sulfuric acid aerosols in the lower Stratosphere that cooled the earth’s surface by 0.5 degrees C for typically three years. While such events are currently happening once every 80 years, there are times in geologic history when they occurred every few to a dozen years. These were times when the earth was cooled incrementally into major ice ages. There have also been two dozen times during the past 46,000 years when major volcanic eruptions occurred every year or two or even several times per year for decades. Each of these times was contemporaneous with very rapid global warming. Large volumes of SO2 erupted frequently appear to overdrive the oxidizing capacity of the atmosphere resulting in very rapid Warming. Such warming and associated acid rain becomes extreme when millions of cubic kilometers of basalt are erupted in much less than one million years. These are the times of the greatest mass extinctions. When major volcanic eruptions do not occur for decades to hundreds of years, the atmosphere can oxidize all pollutants, leading to a very thin atmosphere, global cooling and decadal drought. Prior to the 20th century, increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) followed increases in temperature initiated by changes in SO2. By 1962, man burning fossil fuels was adding SO2 to the atmosphere at a rate equivalent to one “large” volcanic eruption each 1.7 years. Global temperatures increased slowly from 1890 to 1950 as anthropogenic sulfur increased slowly. Global temperatures increased more rapidly after 1950 as the rate of anthropogenic sulfur emissions increased. By 1980 anthropogenic Sulfur emissions peaked and began to decrease because of major efforts especially in Japan, Europe, and the United States to reduce acid rain. Atmospheric concentrations of methane began decreasing in 1990 and have remained nearly constant since 2000, demonstrating an increase in oxidizing capacity. Global temperatures became roughly constant around 2000 and even decreased beginning in late 2007. Meanwhile atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide have continued to increase at the same rate that they have increased since 1970. Thus SO2 is playing a far more active role in initiating and controlling global warming than recognized by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Massive reduction of SO2 should be a top priority in order to reduce both global warming and acid rain. But man is also adding two to three orders of magnitude more CO2 per year to the climate than one “large” volcanic eruption added in the past. Thus CO2, a greenhouse gas, is contributing to global warming and should be reduced. We have already significantly reduced SO2 emissions in order to reduce acid rain. We know how to do it both technically and politically. In the past, sudden climate change was typically triggered by sudden increases in volcanic activity. Slow increases in greenhouse gases, therefore, do not appear as likely as currently thought to trigger tipping points where the climate suddenly changes. However we do need to start planning an appropriate human response to future major increases in volcanic activity.

NOW THE GLOBAL COOLING ARGUMENT

SOURCE: STEPHEN SCHNEIDER: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/10/23/the-1970s-cooling-anomaly-of-agw/

it is generally recognized that CO2 driven Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) was interrupted with significant cooling for a period of 30 years or more even as carbon dioxide from the industrial economy was being released into the atmosphere at record rates. The cooling occurred at some time after the 1930s and before the 1980s with the cooling anomaly generally described as 1940s to 1970s. The cooling trend in this period is recorded in the instrumental temperature record and in global and regional temperature reconstructions. News media archives from that period show a global fear of a return to the Little Ice Age cooling period. This1940-1970 cooling period is considered to be anomalous and contentious because it appears to be incompatible with the theory of AGW. However, it has been proposed by climate scientist Stephen Schneider that the industrial economy,in addition to generating artificial carbon dioxide, also creates sulfate aerosols as part of the acid rain issue. Climate scientist Stephen Schneider has explained the 1930-1970s cooling as a creation of sulfate aerosols and the return to warming after 1970 in terms of EPA regulations that ended acid rain and the associated sulfate aerosols. The argument presented by Schneider is that although this cooling effect of SO2 is not a chemistry issue, it is still a cooling effect of human activity that creates and injects SO2 into the atmosphere and creates not only acid rain but global cooling. What’s more, unlike CO2 warming where the higher the CO2 concentration the lesser the warming effect of additional CO2, in the casse of sulfate aerosol cooling, the the higher the sulfate concentration, the greater the cooling effect of additional sulfate aerosols.

Stephen Schneider, a leading climate expert, dead at 65
THE LATE GREAT CLIMATE SCIENTIST STEPHEN SCHNEIDER

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  • budbromley: https://budbromley.blog/2022/09/24/that-would-be-the-road-to-hell/
  • budbromley: Could be a good article for the Babylon Bee. Just left out the 97% joke and hockey stick. Instead, I see a ground swell of resistance, more deniers,
  • chaamjamal: IF THE SCIENCE IS GOOD SELL THE SCIENCE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE SCIENCE IF THE SCIENCE IS BAD, SELL THE SCIENCE BY DENIGRATING ITS CRITICS.
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