UPDATED 12/24/2021

IN THIS POST WE PRESENT EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE THAT DOES NOT SUPPORT THE CLIMATE SCIENCE POSITION OF A CAUSATION RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS AND GLOBAL WARMING.

NOTE: THE RELEVANT TIME SCALE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE IS ANNUAL. WHAT THE SCIENCE SAYS IS THAT ANNUAL EMISSIONS CAUSE ANNUAL CHANGES IN ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION AND THAT ANNUAL CHANGES IN ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION CAUSE ANNUAL CHANGES IN GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE {GMST}. THE DATA PRESENTED HERE ARE AT A DECADAL TIME SCALE.

#1: AIR TRAVEL: THE PANDEMIC AND INTERNATIONAL COMMERCIAL FLIGHTS: A SPECIFIC IMPACT OF THE PANDEMIC WAS THE REDUCTION IN GLOBAL AIRLINE TRAFFIC FROM 39 MILLION FLIGHTS PER YEAR TO 16 MILLION FLIGHTS PER YEAR. THERE WAS NO IMPACT ON THE RATE OF GLOBAL WARMING.

#2: CLIMATE ACTION AND RENEWABLE ENERGY: OVER THE DECADE 2009 TO 2019 MORE THAN $2.5 TRILLION WAS INVESTED IN RENEWABLE ENERGY WORLDWIDE. THIS IMPLEMENTATION WAS MOTIVATED BY THE CLIMATE SCIENCE CLAIM THAT INVESTMENT IN RENEWABLE ENERGY IS REQUIRED TO ATTENUATE GLOBAL WARMING. YET WHAT WE SEE IN THE DATA IS THAT THE INVESTMENT OF $2.5 TRILLION IN RENEWABLE ENERGY DIDN’T CHANGE THE RATE OF GLOBAL WARMING.

THERE WAS NO IMPACT ON THE RATE OF GLOBAL WARMING.

#3: GLOBAL RENEWABLE ENERGY CAPACITY: World Total Renewable Energy Capacity: 2010 to 2019 are: 2010=1,226,853, 2011=1,332,236, 2012= 1,445,233, 2013= 1,563,196, 2014= 1,692,680, 2015= 1,846,060, 2016=2,008,547, 2017=2,182,449, 2018=2,361,061, 2019=2,536,853.

THERE WAS NO IMPACT ON THE RATE OF GLOBAL WARMING.

CONCLUSION:

NO EVIDENCE IS FOUND THAT THE RATE OF WARMING IS RESPONSIVE TO CLIMATE ACTION. BUT PLEASE ALSO SEE THE POSTSCRIPT BELOW

POSTSCRIPT:

THE CHART ABOVE PROVIDED BY {OUR WORLD IN DATA} SHOWS THAT ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT INCREASES IN RENEWABLE ENERGY 1985 TO 2020, THE SHARE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY IN 2020 IS STILL LESS THAN 15% AND THAT SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE SHARE OF RENEWABLES IN TOTAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION MAY EXPLAIN WHY NO EFFECT IS VISIBLE ON THE RATE OF WARMING. WHAT THAT DATA ALSO SHOW IS THAT IT TOOK OVER 5 TRILLION DOLLARS TO CONVERT 15% OF THE WORLD’S ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE FROM FOSSIL FUELS TO RENEWABLES. THIS MEANS THAT THE CLIMATE ACTION DEMANDED BY CLIMATE SCIENCE HAS A PRICE TAG OF OVER 33 TRILLION DOLLARS, OR OVER $4,000 PER MAN WOMAN AND CHILD ON EARTH.

$23 TRILION

THE NEW YORK TIMES REPORTS: LINK: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/22/climate/climate-change-economy.html , THAT THE COST OF NOT TAKING CLIMATE ACTION AND SUFFERING THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IS THAT THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS WILL DEPRESS THE GLOBAL ECONOMY AND CAUSE A LOSS OF $23 TRILLION.

COMPARING THE COST OF ACTION ($33 TRILLION) TO THE COST OF CLIMATE INACTION ($23 TRILLION), WE FIND A ($10 TRILLION ) ADVANTAGE FOR NO ACTION.