Thongchai Thailand

SUMMARY OF THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS ISSUE

Posted on: November 23, 2021

THIS POST IS A SUMMARY PRESENTATION OF RELATED POSTS ON THIS SITE ON THE ISSUE OF THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS IN CLIMATE SCIENCE.

PART-1: WHAT DOES ATMOSPHERE BIAS MEAN?

WE PROPOSE THAT THE THEORY OF ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE IS VERY SPECIFICALLY AN ATMOSPHERIC ISSUE WHERE THE THEORY IS THAT HUMANS BURNING FOSSIL FUELS INCREASE ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION AND THAT THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF CO2 IMPLIES THAT RISING ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION CREATES RISING GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE (GMST) AND THAT RISING GMST IS UNDERSTOOD AS GLOBAL WARMING.

THIS THEORY FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IS A PURELY ATMOSPHERIC PHENOMENON. THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS ISSUE IN THIS CONTEXT IS THE INTERPRETATATION OF THIS PHENOMENON IN TERMS OF THE HARMFUL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN SITUATIONS WHERE A ROLE OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT POSSIBLE.

PART-2: HOW FORECAST OF HARMFUL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ARE USED BY CLIMATE SCIENCE TO MOTIVATE CLIMATE ACTION

IN THIS CONTEXT WE FIND THAT THE DEMAND FOR COSTLY CLIMATE ACTION, THAT IS FOR HUMANS TO STOP BURNING FOSSIL FUELS BY CHANGING THEIR ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE TO REMEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES THAT ARE STILL IN DEVELOPMENT, IS MADE USING FEAR APPEAL METHODOLOGY WITH PREDICTIONS OF HORRIFIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE FAILURE TO TAKE TIMELY CLIMATE ACTION.

IN THESE SITUATIONS A FEARFUL CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT IS FORECAST AND THE FEARFUL IMPACT IS THEN USED AS LEVERAGE TO PUSH FOR CLIMATE ACTION. THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS ISSUE ARISES WHERE A ROLE FOR THE ATMOSPHERE IS ASSUMED BUT NO EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE IS PROVIDED FOR THAT RELATIONSHIP. WE SHOW IN THE RELATED POSTS LINKED BELOW THAT IN MANY SUCH CASES, NO ROLE FOR THE ATMOSPHERE IS POSSIBLE. BELOW, WE ;PROVIDE LINKS TO RELATED POSTS ON THIS SITE WHERE SPECIFIC EXAMPLES OF THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS ISSUE ARE PROVIDED.

ATMOSPHERE BIAS POST#1: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/14/atmosphere-bias/

DR YIM WYSS ACKNOWLEDGES THAT THE SUN IS THE FIRST ORDER DRIVER OF CLIMATE BUT EMPHASIZES THE IMPORTANCE OF SECOND ORDER DRIVERS SUCH AS GEOTHERMAL HEAT WHEN THEY OFFER A BETTER EXPLANATION FOR REGIONAL VARIATIONS AND CITES A SPECIFIC EXAMPLE WHERE THE PACIFIC OCEAN WARM WATER BLOB IS ASSUMED BY CLIMATE SCIENCE TO BE A CREATION OF GLOBAL WARMING ALTHOUGH A MORE REALISTIC AND RATIONAL CAUSATION FOR THIS EPOSPDIC AND LOCALIZED WARM WATER EVENT IS MORE CLLEARLY UNDERSTOOD IN TERRMS OF GEOLOGICAL HEAT FROM THE BOTTOM OF THE OCEAN. .

ATMOSPHERE BIAS POST#2: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/20/an-atmosphere-bias-part-2/

A WELL KNOWN AND WELL STUDIED CLIMATE CHANGE EVENT IN THE PALEO PROXY DATA IS THE PETM ABOUT 50 MILLION YEARS AGO WHEN A SIGNIFICANT GEOLOGICAL EVENT IN THE OCEAN HAD RAISED OCEAN TEMPERATURE, KILLED OFF SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE OCEAN BIOTA, AND RAISED ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION. BUT SUCH IS THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS OF CLIMATE SCIENCE THAT THIS EVENT WAS INTERPRETED IN REVERSE WITH THE RISING OCEAN TEMPERATURE ATTRIBUTED TO THE GREENHOSE EFFECT OF RISING ATMOSPHERIC CO2 AS THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF THESE EVENTS.

ATMOSPHERE BIAS POST #3: OCEAN HEAT CONTENT ATTRIBUTED TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS:

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/26/ocean-heat-content-alarm-of-2021/

IT IS CLAIMED THAT WE MUST TAKE CLIMATE ACTION BECAUSE ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING IS CAUSING RECORD BREAKING OCEAN TEMPERATURES AND THAT PLACES OCEAN BIOTA SUCH AS CORAL REEFS AT GREAT RISK. YET, IT IS AN EXTREME FORM OF ATMOSPHERE BIAS TO ASSUME THAT ALL TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN THE OCEAN EVEN IN THE ABYSSAL OCEAN, ARE THE CREATION OF THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2. THAT THE OCEAN CONTAINS SIGNIFICANTLY LARGER SOURCES OF HEAT IN THE FORM OF SUBMARINE VOLCANISM, MANTLE PLUMES, AND HYDROTHERMAL VENTS IS DESCRIBED IN A RELATED POST ON THIS SITE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/20/offshore-hydrocarbon-seeps/ . THE EXISTENCE OF THESE HEAT SOURCES MAKES IT NECESSARY THAT THE ATTRIBUTION OF OCEAN WARMING TO THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 MUST PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT THE ATTRIBUTION. IT CANNOT BE ASSUMED THAT ALL TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN THE OCEAN CAN BE UNDERSTOOD IN TERMS OF ATMOSPHERIC PHENOMENA.

ATMOSPHERE BIAS POST #4: MIOCENE WARMING:

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/01/17/miocene/

What makes the Mid Miocene interesting in the AGW context is that it shows that the earth’s own geological heat sources can control deep ocean temperature and change ocean currents such as to dramatically change the climate on the surface. The Mid Miocene warming event underscores the atmosphere bias of climate science where all changes including changes in deep ocean heat are ultimately ascribed to changes in atmospheric composition that are assumed to be driven by fossil fuel emissions.

RELATED POST#5: THE ATMOSPHERE CREATURES SEE THINGS FROM THE ATMOSPHERE PERSPECTIVE

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/10/02/the-atmosphere-bias-of-the-atmosphere-creatures/

AND FINALLY, WE NOTE THAT IN THE HEAT BALANCE OF THE GLOBAL WARMING EQUATION, THE EXTRA HEAT TRAPPED BY CARBON DIOXIDE EXPLAINS THE RISE IN GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE (GMST). THIS MEANS THAT THERE IS NO CO2 TRAPPED HEAT LEFT OVER TO HEAT THE OCEAN WITH.

The Greenhouse Effect
Greenhouse Effect: Advantages and Disadvantages | by TutorBin | Medium

 

PART-3: EXAMPLES OF THE ATMOSPHERE BIAS IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

EXAMPLE-1: GEOLOGICAL CARBON FLOWS

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  • budbromley: https://budbromley.blog/2022/09/24/that-would-be-the-road-to-hell/
  • budbromley: Could be a good article for the Babylon Bee. Just left out the 97% joke and hockey stick. Instead, I see a ground swell of resistance, more deniers,
  • chaamjamal: IF THE SCIENCE IS GOOD SELL THE SCIENCE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE SCIENCE IF THE SCIENCE IS BAD, SELL THE SCIENCE BY DENIGRATING ITS CRITICS.
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