Thongchai Thailand

IT’S COOLING NOT WARMING

Posted on: September 18, 2021

THIS POST IS A CRITICAL REVIEW OF AN ONLINE ARTICLE ABOUT A COOLING TREND IN ANTARCTICA

LINK TO SOURCE: https://notrickszone.com/2021/09/17/scientists-find-surprising-and-statistically-significant-cooling-trend-over-entire-continental-antarctica/

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE ARTICLE SAYS

East Antarctica, which covers two thirds of the South Pole, has cooled a whopping 2.8°C over the past 4 decades; West Antarctica approximately 1.6°C. ..only tiny Antarctic Peninsula saw statistically insignificant warming. German climate website Die kalte Sonne posted its 64th climate video here and examined a new paper on Antarctica by Zhu et al (2021): “An Assessment of ERA5 Reanalysis for Antarctic Near-Surface Air Temperature”. The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) released its latest ERA5 reanalysis dataset in 2017 and Zhu and his researchers compared the near-surface temperature data from ERA5 and ERA-Interim with the measured data from 41 weather stations. They found that the temperature trend from ERA5 is consistent with that from observations. The result: a cooling trend dominates East Antarctica and West Antarctica while a warming trend exists in the Antarctic Peninsula. Note that the regions of east and West Antarctica combined are vastly larger than the tiny Antarctic Peninsula. Substantial cooling: The results are summarized as follows (cropped from Die kalte Sonne): The table shows East Antarctica, which covers two thirds of the continent, saw a cooling of 0.70°C per decade over the past 40 years. In total that particular region has cooled about 2.8°C since 1980. West Antarctica has cooled at a rate of 0.42°C per decade over the past 40 years. Die kalte Sonne finds the results “surprising” and “statistically significant”. And though the Antarctic Peninsula has warmed moderately, Die kalte Sonne sees nothing significant happening over this comparatively small region. This of course should be seen as good news for the global warming alarmists who fear the South Pole might melt.

RELEVANT IMAGES FROM THE SOURCE DOCUMENT

CRITICAL COMMENTARY

IN A RELATED POST \: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/11/global-warming-dec2020/

WE SHOW THAT THE UAH LOWER TROPOSPHERE TEMPERATURE DATA FOR THE 42-YEAR PERIOD 1979 TO 2020 DO SHOW COOLING IN ANTARCTICA BUT NOT FOR GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE WHICH IS SEEN TO BE WARMING. THEREFORE, WE PROPOSE THAT THE FINDING BY THESE RESEARCHERS AT “NO TRICKS ZONE” THAT ANTARCTICA IS COOLING DOES NOT HAVE THE INTERPRETATION OF AN ARGUMENT AGAINST GLOBAL WARMING.

CONCLUSION: THAT ANTARCTICA IS COOLING IS NOT A VALID ARGUMENT AGAINST GLOBAL WARMING.

GLOBAL WARMING DOES NOT MEAN THAT EVERY PART OF THE GLOBE IS WARMING. IT MEANS ONLY THAT GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE (GMST) IS RISING.

POSTSCRIPT#1:

ASSESSMENT OF THIS WORK BY FELLOW SKEPTICS .

#1: “Of course, this is all ENTIRELY in line with the predictions of climate alarmists, and so will be ignored.”

#2: When your mind is made up you ignore the data and try to justify the bias you acquired as a juvenile and never questioned.

OUCH!

I GUESS I’LL HAVE TO LEARN HOW TO TOE THE LINE

POSTSCRIPT#2

IT SHOULD BE MENTIONED THAT ANTARCTICA ICE MELT EVENTS ATTRIBUTED TO GLOBAL WARMING BY CLIMATE SCIENCE WAS DESCRIBED IN TERMS OF WARM WATER FROM THE TROPICS TAKEN TO THE CIRCUMPOLAR CIRCULATION AROUND ANTARCTICA BY THE GULF STREAM AND NOT IN TERMS OF A WARMING TREND IN ANTARCTICA.

2 Responses to "IT’S COOLING NOT WARMING"

When your mind is made up you ignore the data and try to justify the bias you acquired as a juvenile and never questioned.

The fact that the Antarctic troposphere is cooling and the ice sheets are shrinking, which is exactly what happened 10,000+ years ago when the northern hemisphere was buried under mile high continental ice sheets, should be enough for anyone to start questioning the bias that was drummed into their heads when they were young and impressionable.

Global Cooling started 10,000+ years ago and “starved” the northern hemisphere of winter precipitation and the ice sheets completely vanished.

Lower temperatures mean less water vapor which means less precipitation which means the ice sheets and glaciers shrink.

Thank you for your input

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