Thongchai Thailand

IPCC6#3: RISE IN ATMOSPHERIC CO2

Posted on: August 10, 2021

PART-1: WHAT THE IPCC SAYS

Observed increases in well-mixed greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations since around 1750 are
unequivocally caused by human activities.

PART-2: CRITICALCOMMENTARY

THE MOST FUNDAMENTAL DRIVING FORCE THAT RELATES GLOBAL WARMING TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS IS THE ASSUMPTION THAT OBSERVED CHANGES IN ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION ARE CAUSED BY FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS. YET, NO EVIDENCE IS PROVIDED FOR THIS CAUSATION. THIS ESSENTIAL RELATIONSHIP IN AGW THEORY IS ESTABLISHED ONLY WITH THE POWER OF THE WORD “UNEQUIVOCALLY”, ADMITEDDLY A VERY POWERFUL WORD, BUT THE POWER IN A SCIENTIFIC INVESTIGATION OF THIS NATURE SHOULD BE BASED ON DATA AND DATA ANALYSIS. FOR EXAMPLE, IT MUST BE SHOWN WITH DETRENDED CORRELATION ANALYSIS THAT ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION IS RESPONSIVE TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS AT THE PROPOSED TIME SCALE. IN A RELATED POST WE SHOW THAT NO SUCH CORRELATION IS FOUND IN THE DATA AND IN FACT, NO STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE IS FOUND FOR THE ASSUMED AIRBORNE FRACTION OF 50%.

RELATED POST#1: MAUNA LOA CO2 DATA: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/11/annual-changes-in-mlo-co2/

RELATED POST#2: THE UNCERTAINTY IN CARBON CYCLE FLOWS

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/05/31/the-carbon-cycle-measurement-problem/

bandicam 2018-06-26 09-38-07-779

RELATED POST#3: MONTE CARLO SIMULATION

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/06/10/a-monte-carlo-simulation-of-the-carbon-cycle/

CONCUSION: NO EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE IS FOUND IN THE DATA THAT ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION IS RESPONSIVE TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS. THIS ASSUMED CRITICAL RELATIONSHIP IN AGW THEORY IS ESTABLISHED IN THE IPCC REPORT NOT WITH EVIDENCE BUT WITH THE WORD “UNEQUIVOCALLY”.

THE BLIND WORSHIP OF THE IPCC AS SOME KIND OF SCIENTIFIC AUTHORITY OVERLOOKS THE REALITY THAT THE IPCC IS AN AGENCY OF THE UN AND THEIR BOSS IS ANTONIO GUTERRES; MEANING THAT THEIR SCIENCE MUST MEET THE REQUIREMENTS OF UN BUREAUCRATS.

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  • Ruben Leon: When your mind is made up you ignore the data and try to justify the bias you acquired as a juvenile and never questioned. The fact that the Antar
  • chaamjamal: Thank you for raising these interesting points. We live in strange times. Some day we may figure this out.
  • gregole: Funny after all that doom and gloom from Al Gore some years back I haven't seen much of him lately. Guess he made all the money he needed and is chil
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