Thongchai Thailand

PAUSES IN GLOBAL WARMING: A NOTE

Posted on: August 3, 2021

THIS POST IS A PRESENATION OF THE STUDY OF GLOBAL WARMING HIATUS EVENTS FOUND IN THE CLIMATE DENIAL COMMUNITY. A GLOBAL WARMING HIATUS EVENT IS IDENTIFIED IF A PERIOD OF TIME IS FOUND WHERE THERE IS NO TREND IN GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE AS FOR EXAMPLE THE UAH LOWER TROPOSPHERE TEMPERATURE DATA. THE MOST RECENT HIATUS FOUND IS 6 YEARS AND 6 MONTHS ENDING IN JULY 2021. OTHER RECENT GLOBAL WARMING HIATUS EVENTS ARE LISTED IN THE TABLE BELOW WHERE HIATUS EVENTS ARE IDENTIFIED IN BOTH UAH AND HADCRU TEMPERATURE DATA.

A LONGER HISTORY OF SUCH GLOBAL WARMING PAUSE EVENTS IS PRESENTED AS IN THE CHART BELOW

THE GLOBAL WARMING DATA PRESENTED ABOVE ARE GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE. AN ADDITIONAL LINE OF INVESTIGTION IN GLOBAL WARMING HIATUS STUDIES PRESENTS NON GLOBAL LOCAL TEMPERATURE DATA OVER LONGER TIME PERIODS AS IN THE DATA FOR GLASGOW, SCOTLAND SHOWN BELOW WHERE WE FIND THAT THERE HAS BEEN ABSOLUTELY NO WARMING IN GLASGOW FOR THE LAST 22 YEARS.

CRITICAL COMMENTARY

ITEM#1: THE INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY ISSUE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/07/16/the-internal-variability-issue/

THE GLOBAL WARMING HIATUS FOUND IN GLASGOW DOES NOT RELATE TO GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE. THE LOCAL NATURE OF THIS DATA MAKES IT IMPOSSIBLE TO INTERPRET THE DATA IN TERMS OF GLOBAL WARMING. AS EXPLAINED IN THE RELATED POST LINKED ABOVE, INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY IS UNDERSTOOD SEPARATELY FROM THE GLOBAL WARMING ISSUE.

ITEM#2: SHORT TERM RANDOM VARIABILITY OF TEMPERATURE DATA: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/11/global-warming-dec2020/

IN THIS RELATED POST WE FIND THAT LONG TERM GLOBAL WARMING TRENDS IN UAH LOWER TROPOSPHERE GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE ARE NOT SUSTAINED ACROSS THE TIME SPAN AT ALL TIME SCALES BUT THAT LONG TERM SUSTAINED WARMING TRENDS AT TIME SCALES OF 30 YEARS OR MORE CONSIST OF CHAOTIC CYCLES OF WARMING, COOLING, AND NO TREND AT DECADAL AND SHORTER TIME SCALES. THESE DATA IMPLY THAT GLOBAL WARMING SHOULD BE UNDERSTOOD AT LONGER TIME SCALES THAN THE ONES PRESENTED IN THE HIATUS STUDY. A SAMPLE CHART IS PRESENTED BELOW.

GLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE

THIS BEHAVIOR OF GMST IS ALSO FOUND IN THE THEORY OF AGW WHICH REFERS TO LONG TERM TRENDS OF 30 YEARS OR MORE IN GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE. IT IS NOTED THAT RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE ALARMS OF CLIMATE SCIENCE AS EVIDENCE OF AGW ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THIS ASPECT OF AGW THEORY.

IN YET ANOTHER BLOG WE FIND THE CHART ABOVE WITH THE CLAIM THAT THE CHART SHOWS THAT TEMPERATURES ARE BACK WITHIN THE RANGE SEEN 20 YEARS AGO AND THAT THEREFORE THE HIATUS IN GLOBAL TEMPERATURE RISE APPEARS TO HAVE RESUMED. WE NOTE IN THE CHART THAT A 13-MONTH MOVING AVERAGE TEMPERATURE HAS DECLINED TO A LOW VALUE OVER A 3-YEAR PERIOD. AS IN THE FIRST CASE PRESENTED ABOVE, THE TIME SCALE OF THE STUDY IS INSUFFICIENT TO INTERPRET THE RESULTS IN TERMS OF GLOBAL WARMING THAT WORKS ON MUCH LONGER TIME SCALES.

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS OF THIS BLOG IS PROVIDED IN A RELATED POST: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/06/16/new-japanese-climate-change-paper/

AN IMAGE OF THE THE BLOG IN QUESTION APPEARS BELOW

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  • David: thank you very much for that information.......something I was unaware of....very interesting.....
  • Ruben Leon: 1st you write your opinion and then you search for other opinions to support your opinion and call your opinion science. I'm as sure that the orbit
  • Ruben Leon: People who believe CO2 is causing climate change are either ignorant of basic science or they don't believe in gravity. CO2 is 10% heavier than Cal
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