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THAT WE MUST FEAR THE IGNORANCE OF SCIENTISTS IS THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

Posted on: May 1, 2021

8 incredibly dumb theories famous scientists actually believed

THIS POST ADDS TO THE LIST OF POSTS ON THIS SITE IN WHICH CLIMATE SCIENTISTS CLAIM THAT WHAT WE MUST FEAR IS THEIR IGNORANCE BECAUSE THE LESS THEY KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS. IT IS A REFERENCE TO AN ONLINE ARTICLE THAT SAYS THAT WHAT’S REALLY SCARY ABOUT THE GLACIAL MELT EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IS THAT CLIMATE SCIENTISTS DON’T REALLY UNDERSTAND IT AND THAT THEY HAVE FAILED TO ACCURATELY PROJECT GLACIAL MELT BASED ON THE GLACIAL MELT EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CONTAINED IN THEIR CLIMATE MODELS.

LINK TO SOURCE: https://edition.cnn.com/2021/04/29/weather/glacier-melt-faster-rate-scn/index.html

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE ARTICLE SAYS

Glaciers are melting much faster than expected, study finds. A new study indicates that the speed of glacier melt has “doubled over the past two decades” — far faster than anticipated or previously measured. In the study, published in the journal Nature, the authors utilized multiple NASA satellite datasets dating back to 2000. Obtaining accurate measurements of glacier melt, or glacier mass loss, has been difficult, the authors said. Glaciers are generally found in incredibly remote or inaccessible locations, meaning that only a few hundred of the over 200,000 glaciers are routinely monitored. This September 2017 photo provided by researcher Brian Menounos shows the Klinaklini glacier in British Columbia, Canada. The glacier and the adjacent icefield have lost nearly 16 billion tons of snow and ice since 2000.
This September 2017 photo provided by researcher Brian Menounos shows the Klinaklini glacier in British Columbia, Canada. The glacier and the adjacent icefield have lost nearly 16 billion tons of snow and ice since 2000.
However, by utilizing the satellite datasets from NASA, they were able to show that glaciers lost roughly 5,073 gigatonnes of mass from 2000 to 2019 — or 11,180,000,000,000,000 pounds. That’s roughly the equivalent of 553,465,346 Eiffel Towers. From 2000 to 2019, the rate of glacier melt accelerated from an estimated .36 meters per year to .69 meters per year, the authors wrote. A third of Antarctic ice shelf risks collapse as our planet warms. A third of Antarctic ice shelf risks collapse as our planet warms. In turn, the authors believe that glacier melt has contributed to an estimated 21% of sea level rise since 2000 — almost a quarter of an inch. They discovered that the most rapid increase in glacier melt took place in Alaska, western Canada and the United States. In New Zealand, glaciers are believed to have melted at almost seven times the rate between 2015 and 2019 compared to the turn of the century. Reduction in global glaciers is one of the most direct consequences of a warming planet and one of the key indicators of climate change, according to scientists. Although the authors did not study the cause of the glacier melting, they did indicate that the areas where glaciers shrunk experienced changes in long-term precipitation and temperature, which are consistent with climate change. In calculating the glacier melt rates, the 11 authors wrote that they hope it contributes to more accurate projections for sea level rise and water management.

PART-2: OTHER EXAMPLES OF IGNORANCE FEAROLOGY IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

(1) THE LESS WE KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/11/03/lessweknow/

(2) THE DEARTH OF SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE ONLY ADDS TO THE ALARM: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/05/22/global-warming-science-2007-the-dearth-of-scientific-knowledge-only-adds-to-the-alarm/

(3) THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/05/the-null-hypothesis-issue/

PART-3: SUMMARY OF THE NULL HYPOTHESIS ISSUE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

IN HYPOTHESIS TESTS, THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN MUST BE THE ALTERNATE HYPOTHESIS AND ITS NEGATION THEN BECOMES THE NULL HYPOTHESIS. THE UNBIASED DATA COLLECTION MUST THEN PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT EVIDENCE TO REJECT THE NULL IN ORDER TO ACCEPT THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN. THIS PROCEDURE IS CORRUPTED IN CLIMATE SCIENCE WHERE THE TRUTH OF THAT WHICH IS TO BE PROVEN IS TAKEN AS THE NULL HYPOTHESIS. THIS STATISTICAL ERROR IS RATIONALIZED WITH THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPAL. IT IS THIS ERROR IN STATISTICS THAT LEADS CLIMATE SCIENCE TO THE ODD LOGIC IN RESEARCH THAT THE LESS THEY KNOW THE SCARIER IT GETS. DETAILS IN THE DOCUMENT LINKED ABOVE.

PART-4: RELATED POST ON THE POLAR ICE MELT ALARM OF CLIMATE SCIENCE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/07/climate-change-threatens-polar-ice/

THERE WE SHOW THAT BOTH POLAR REGIONS ARE GEOLOGICALLY VERY ACTIVE AND GEOLOGICAL EVENTS THERE ARE IMPORTANT IN THE UNDERSTANDING OF ICE MELT EVENTS. A SINGLE MINDED PRE-CONCEIVED IDEA THAT ALL ICE MELT EVENTS THERE CAN AND MUST BE EXPLAINED IN TERMS OF ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING CANNOT BE DESCRIBED AS UNBIASED AND OBJECTIVE SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY AND IS THEREFORE NOT CREDIBLE.

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