THIS POST IS A BRIEF SUMMARY OF SOME ITEMS IN THE CLIMATE HYSTERIA OF APRIL 9 2021 ALONG WITH LINKS TO RELEVANT POSTS ON THIS SITE.

CLIMATE HYSTERIA ARTICLE #1: THE OCEAN IS BECOMING MORE STABLE. OMG OMG!!!

If you’ve ever been seasick, “stable” may be the last word you associate with the ocean. But as global temperatures rise, the world’s oceans are technically becoming more stable. When scientists talk about ocean stability, they refer to how much the different layers of the sea mix with each other. A recent study analysed over a million samples and found that, over the past five decades, the stability of the ocean increased at a rate that was six times faster than scientists were anticipating. Ocean stability is an important regulator of the global climate and the productivity of marine ecosystems which feed a substantial portion of the world’s people. It controls how heat, carbon, nutrients and dissolved gases are exchanged between the upper and lower layers of the ocean. So while a more stable ocean might sound idyllic, the reality is less comforting. It could mean the upper layer trapping more heat, and containing less nutrients, with a big impact on ocean life and the climate.

TRANSLATION: IN THE SCIENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS, WHAT YOU HAVE TO DO IS TO WAIT FOR SOMETHING UNUSUAL THAT YOU NEITHER PREDICTED NOR EXPECTED AND THEN (1) FIND THE HORROR IN THAT IMPACT NO MATTER WHAT IT IS AND (2) PRESENT THE UNUSUAL EVENT AS AN IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE SIMPLY BECAUSE IT IS UNUSUAL. IF IT WAS NOT EXPCTED THAT MAKES IT AN EVEN MORE UNUSUAL AND THEREFORE MORE WORRISOME IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND MORE REASON TO RUSH TO RENEWABLES AND TO GET RID OF FOSSIL FUELS. THERE IS A WORD FOR THIS KIND OF SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE. THAT WORD IS BIAS. MORE SPECIFICALLY IT IS CALLED CONFIRMATION BIAS AND DOWN IN TEXAS THEY CALL IT THE TEXAS SHARPSHOOTER FALLACY WHERE YOU SHOOT FIRST AND IDENTIFY THE TARGET AFTER YOU HAVE SEEN WHERE YOUR BULLET HIT.

RELATED POSTS ON CONFIRMATION BIAS IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/06/29/diffenbaugh-2017-extreme-weather-of-climate-change/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/08/03/confirmationbias/

LINK#3: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/09/a-data-selection-bias/

LINK#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/05/the-null-hypothesis-issue/

LINK#5: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/02/12/global-warming-and-the-pandemic/

CLIMATE HYSTERIA ARTICLE #2: THE GREAT BARRIER REEF IS ON THE PATH TO DESTRUCTION. OMG OMG!!!

Australia’s foremost coral reef scientist Professor Terry Hughes says government plans to restore the Great Barrier Reef are doomed to failure because they’re too small and expensive, while the rate of catastrophic bleaching events are already recurring faster than corals can recover. A recent Australian Academy of Sciences report said that if the world warmed by 2 degrees Celsius just one per cent of corals would survive. The earth has already warmed by 1.1 degrees and medium-range estimates forecast 1.5 degrees of warming by 2045 to 2050. Coral bleaching events, which are driven by hot weather and clear sunny days, now occur on average every six years and their frequency is set to rise. The federal government has committed $100 million for reef restoration projects, beginning with $2 million to trial underwater fans to cool the water for a tiny proportion of the reef and is also investigating using sun shields to reduce solar radiation as well as funding ‘coral gardening’ to grow and replace dead corals. But restoration projects are a distraction from the real work required to save the reef. That clever science can fix it has no credibility. We need to address the root cause, which is climate change. When bleached, corals are highly stressed but not dead. However, they are more likely to die when they’re bleached and take at least 10 years to recover – depending on the species. Some large colonies of longer-lived species are hundreds of years old. These species are generally more resistant to bleaching than faster-growing species, but with the increased severity of bleaching events, even these ‘tougher’ species are being lost. Overheated sea surface temperatures cause corals to eject the algae which live in their tissue, which causes them to turn stark white. The first time we saw back-to-back events on the Great Barrier Reef was the bleaching in 2016 and 2017. Now it’s predicted that back-to-back bleaching could occur every year by mid-century. The number of corals in the Great Barrier Reef has halved in the past twenty years. Increasingly frequent bleaching events are occurring too close together and corals don’t have enough time to recover. These centuries-old corals also provide a valuable record of climatic conditions. Like tree rings, corals show distinct annual ‘growth bands’ which can be used to reconstruct environmental conditions over hundreds of years, including past bleaching events. They reveal that mass bleaching events of the scale we are currently seeing did not occur prior to the 1980s. The narrowing window for coral recovery had already closed too far for coral reefs to bounce back to full health. In the past decade after 2010 the gap between bleaching events had dropped to just six years – and that gap is the window for coral recovery,” he said. “The problem is corals grow pretty slowly. They need a decade for recovery of the faster-growing species, and much longer for slower-growing ones. In the past year there has been bleaching events around the world, including on the Great Barrier Reef and the Coral Sea over summer, in Taiwan during the northern summer, and currently in the Solomons Islands and Papua New Guinea. These bleaching events are occurring during La Nina events, which usually produce cooler conditions. There is now enough heat in the system that any given summer is hot enough to induce a bleaching event. We’re relying on weather events, such as monsoonal troughs or cyclones, to come at the right time to reduce heat stress and avoid bleaching. Even cooler areas of the subtropics are seeing repeated bleaching from these marine heatwaves.

TRANSLATION: IN THIS EXAMPLE OF THE SCIENCE OF CLIMATE SCIENCE WHAT WE FIND IS THE PERVASIVE AND ENTRENCHED PRACTICE OF CREATING PITIFUL CUTE AND LOVABLE VICTIMS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AS AN EMOTIONAL ACTIVISM FOR CLIMATE ACTION. THE TRUTH OF THE MATTER IS THAT AFTER MORE THAN A HUNDRED YEARS OF CLIMATE CHANGE THE EARTH’S CORAL REEFS ARE STILL HERE. THAT THEY GO THROUGH BLEACHING CYCLES IS A GIVEN AND NOT SOME BAMBI REASON FOR US TO FEEL PITY FOR THEM. THAT THEY HAVE BEEN AROUND FOR “HUNDREDS OF YEARS” IS PROOF OF THEIR ENDURANCE AND DURABILITY AND NOT OF THEIR IMMINENT COLLAPSE FROM WARMING. THAT THE CURRENT WARMING IS FOUND TO BE EXCEPTIONALLY HOT IN RELATION TO PAST “CENTURIES” IS A BIASED ARGUMENT BECAUSE THAT REFERENCE TIME SPAN DOES NOT GO BACK THROUGH ALL THE WARM PERIODS OF THE HOLOCENE INTERGLACIAL THAT GOES BACK FOR THOUSANDS OF YEARS. IT IS A CHERRY PICKED COMPARISON. WHAT IS PRESENTED AS SCIENCE AND THEREFORE CREDIBLE BECAUSE THE SCIENTIST INVOLVED IS AN ESTEEMED SCIENTIST IS ITSELF AN UNSCIENIFIC ARGUMENT BECAUSE ITS CLAIM TO TRUTH DERIVES FROM THE AD HOMINEM APPEAL TO AUTHORITY FALLACY.

RELATED POSTS ON CORAL REEFS AND THE APPEAL TO AUTHORITY FALLACY IN CLIMATE SCIENCE

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/12/08/history-of-coral-reefs/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/02/16/mid-holocene-warm-period/

CLIMATE HYSTERIA ARTICLE #3: ICE SHELF COLLAPSE IN ANTARCTICA WILL CAUSE SEA LEVEL RISE OMG OMG!!!

A third of Antarctic ice shelves risk collapsing due to climate change. ENVIRONMENT 8 April 2021.
By Adam Vaughan. Around a third of the ice shelves holding back huge glaciers in Antarctica are at risk of collapse if the world fails to take sufficient action on climate change, new projections have found. The ice shelves circling the continent are vulnerable to meltwater on their surface causing the ice to crack and disintegrate, a process known as hydrofracturing. Computer modelling by Ella Gilbert at the University of Reading, UK, and Christoph Kittel at the University of Liege, Belgium, showed that if the world warms by 4°C since pre-industrial levels, then 34 per cent of the continent’s ice shelves will have meltwater on their surface, a sign they are at risk of collapse. However, the figure falls to 18 per cent if temperature rises are checked at 2°C. The world is currently on track for a 2.9°C rise but, if implemented, climate plans and net zero goals would cut that to 2.1°C. Warming to 2°C means half the ice shelf area is at risk of collapsing. That is the message: the less the warming the better. Researchers used a much higher resolution climate model than previous research, with grid squares 35 kilometres across rather than hundreds of kilometres across. It also more accurately represents cloud physics, which is vital as estimates of the area at risk of collapse hinge on how much ice loss is replaced by snowfall. The big difference between the 2°C and 4°C rise scenarios stems from melting outweighing increased snowfall in a 4°C warmer world. This study shows melting at the ice shelves’ surface will spreads southwards to parts of the continent where huge reservoirs of inland ice may lose their protective barrier. If that happens, we can expect rapid increases in sea level rise along every coastline of our planet. The research doesn’t put a figure on how much sea level rise could occur if ice shelves collapsed and released the glaciers behind them but provides the gut feeling that sea level rise for 4°C could potentially contribute tens of centimetres if they did collapse putting 10 million people globally at risk of coastal flooding events at high tide. The study’s big advance is using a higher resolution model. But further analysis of how individual ice shelves move is needed to work out which ones will actually collapse.

TRANSLATION: BACK IN THE EEMIAN INTERGLACIAL THE WHOLE OF THE WAIS (WEST ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET) HAD COLLAPSED CAUSING A CATASTROPHIC SEA LEVEL RISE EVENT WITH A RAPID SEA LEVEL RISE OF 6 METERS. THIS EVENT SERVES AS THE MODEL FOR THE EXPECTED ROLE OF THE WAIS IN THE SEA LEVEL RISE ANTICIPATION IN THE HOLOCENE. HOWEVER, THESE INTERGLACIALS ARE VERY DIFFERENT AND NO SUCH ICE MELT AND SEA LEVEL RISE EVENT HAS OCCURRED LATE INTO THE HOLOCENE. YET THEIR OBSESSION WITH THE EEMIAN EVENT HAS CAUSED CLIMATE SCIENCE TO BECOME SIMILARLY OBSESSED WITH AN EXPECTATION OF SOME KIND OF ICE MELT EVENT IN ANTARCTICA AS A SEA LEVEL RISE HORROR OF ANTROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE THAT SHOULD MOTIVATE US TO TAKE CLIMATE ACTION AND MOVE OUR ENERGY INFRASTRUCRUERE FROM FOSSIL FUELS TO RENEWABLES. AS IT TURNS OUT, THE WEST ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET INCLUDING THE ANTARCTIC PENINSULA IS VERY GEOLOGICALLY ACTIVE WITH SIGNIFICANT GEOTHERMAL HEAT FLUX THAT HAS CAUSED A SUFFICIENT NUMBER OF ICE MELT EVENTS THAT HAVE SERVED TO KEEP THE EEMIAN DREAM OF CLIMATE SCIENCE ALIVE AND THAT DREAM CONTINUES TO GOAD CLIMATE SCIENTISTS, IF SCIENTISTS THEY ARE, TO KEEP LOOKING FOR CLUES THAT THEIR EEMIAN DREAM CAN YET COME TRUE IN SOME FORM OR ANOTHER. THE CRUEL REALITY IS THAT THE ICE MELT EVENTS IN ANTARCTICA ARE ALL GEOLOGICAL EVENTS AND NOT ATMOSPHERIC EVENTS AND IN FACT, THERE IS NO GLOBAL WARMING IN ANTARICTICA. WHAT WE SEE HERE IS THE MOST OUTRAGEOUS EXAMPLE OF THE CORRUPTION OF SCIENCE BY ACTIVISM IN CLIMATE SCIENCE.

RELATED POSTS ON THE CLIMATE SCIENCE OBSESSION WITH AN EEMIAN-LIKE WAIS MELT EVENT IN THE HOLOCENE

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/12/21/eemian/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/07/climate-change-threatens-polar-ice/

LINK#3: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/06/27/antarctica/

LINK#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/16/is-climate-change-melting-glaciers-in-antarctica/

LINK#5: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/11/global-warming-dec2020/

LINK#6: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/02/09/antarctica-threatens-florida/

LINK#7: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/08/11/the-ice-shelves-of-antarctica/

LINK#8: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/28/holocene-sea-level-rise/

CLIMATE HYSTERIA ARTICLE #4: THE PARIS AGREEMENT CLIMATE ACTION UPDATE!!!

When the Paris Agreement came into force in 2016, it was considered by many to be a step forward in the world’s climate action plan. In the five years that have followed, more and more countries have established carbon neutrality targets. Has it been enough to keep us on track? But first, what is the Paris Agreement? The Paris Agreement is a legally binding international treaty that lays out a climate action plan. Its goal is to limit global warming to well below 2C and preferably 1.5C, compared to pre-industrial levels. A total of 191 countries have solidified their support with formal approval. To date, signing nations are not close to hitting the goal set five years ago. Scenario Global Mean Temperature Increase by 2100. Pre-industrial baseline 0℃=0℉. Paris Agreement goal range 1.5-2.℃. Government pledges 3C-3.2. Current policies 3.5C. Source(UNEP). Based on policies currently in effect, we are on track for 3.5C beyond the maximum warming goal of 2C. Even if we take government pledges into account, which is the amount by which countries intend to reduce their emissions, we are still far from achieving the Paris Agreement goal. What about the impact of reduced emissions due to COVID-19 lockdowns? The temporary dip is expected to translate into an insignificant 0.01C reduction of global warming. Without significant policy action that pursues a more sustainable recovery, the UNEP projects that we will be on a dangerous trajectory. The pandemic is a warning that we must urgently shift from our destructive development path, which is driving the three planetary crises of climate change, nature loss and pollution according to the UNEP. The WEF agrees and identifies climate action failure as the cause. The Potential Consequences if we fall short of the Paris Agreement is that our planet may see numerous negative effects. Reduced livable land area due to rising sea levels and increased heat stress, low-lying areas and equatorial regions could become uninhabitable. Global warming may increase water and food scarcity. Fisheries and aquafarming face increasing risks from ocean warming and acidification. Climate change will cause 250,000 additional deaths per year between 2030 and 2050. About 30% of plant and animal species could be extinct by 2070 due to increases in maximum annual temperature. At 4C warming by 2080-2099, the U.S. could suffer annual losses amounting to 2% of GDP. Everyone, including investors, can support green initiatives to help avoid these consequences. Investors may consider company ESG ratings when building a portfolio, and invest in businesses that are contributing to a more sustainable future. Both governments and businesses have been pressed to solidify their commitments to green energy.

TRANSLATION: THE PARIS AGREEMENT ISN’T REALLY A CLIMATE ACTION AGREEMENT LIKE THE MONTREAL PROTOCOL THAT WE HAD HOPED FOR BECAUSE THE COLLECTION OF INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONS CONTAINS NO GLOBAL CARBON BUDGET AND NO COMMITMENT BY THE NATIONS TO MEET ASSIGNED ROLES IN THE CARBON BUDGET, AND NO PLAN FOR INSPECTION AND VALIDATION OF THE “INTENTIONS” OF THE PARTICIPATING NATIONS AND SO ALL WE HAVE TO WORK WITH IS A CLIMATE HEROISM AND FEAR MONGERING PLAN TO SEE IF WE CAN GET THE NATIONS TO CARRY OUT EMISSION REDUCTION BY SWITCHING TO RENEWABLES. .

RELATED POSTS ON THE PARIS AGREEMENT AND THE CALL FOR NATION STATE HEROISM TO MAKE UP FOR THE PARIS FAILURE WHICH WE STILL CALL AN AGREEMENT FOR SOME REASON NOT KNOWN TO US.

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/29/a-climate-summit/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/04/04/11245/

LINK#3: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/05/the-language-of-climate-change-politics/

LINK#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/03/01/a-climate-red-alert/

LINK#5: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/05/22/climate-catch22/

LINK#6: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/02/23/renewable-energy-statistics/

LINK#7: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/02/25/net-zero/

BOTTOM LINE: TO GET PEOPLE TO MOVE FROM FOSSIL FUELS TO RENEWABLES WITHOUT EVIDENCE AND WITHOUT A GLOBAL AGREEMENT AMONG NATIONS TO DO SO WE HAVE TO COME UP WITH THE RIGHT KIND OF LINGUISTIC INNOVATIONS.