Thongchai Thailand

ARCTIC HOTSPOTS OF 2020

Posted on: December 15, 2021

THIS POST IS A PRESENTATION OF A MEDIA ALARM ABOUT HOW HOT IT IS IN THE ARCTIC.

LINK TO SOURCE: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/12/14/un-confirms-record-artic-temperature

PART-1: WHAT THE MEDIA IS SAYING

UN confirms record 38C temperature for the Arctic. The Siberian town of Verkhoyansk reached a temperature of 38C during a prolonged heatwave in June last year (2020). The WMO has confirmed that a temperature of 38C reached in a Siberian town last year was a record for the Arctic.The WMO says that the high temperature that hit Verkhoyansk on June 20, 2020, came during a prolonged heatwave amid conditions which averaged as much as 10C above normal for much of the summer over Arctic Siberia. This new Arctic record is one of a series of observations … that sound the alarm bells about our changing climate. Verkhoyansk is about 115km north of the Arctic Circle. It is a region that is among the fastest warming in the world and is heating at more than twice the global average warming rate. The WMO says that the 2020 heatwave fuelled devastating fires, drove massive sea loss and played a major role in last year being one of the three hottest years on record and therefore it is likely that greater extremes will occur in the Arctic region in the future. The WMO has opened a record number of investigations into weather extremes as climate change unleashes unrivalled storms and heatwaves. Since Arctic records are a new category, the data for the Verkhoyansk probe needed checking against other records as part of a vigorous verification process involving a network of volunteers. The record is now an official entry in the World Weather & Climate Extremes Archive. Last year also saw a new temperature record for the Antarctic continent of 18.3C at Argentina’s Esperanza station, while a WMO committee is also verifying other potential heat records, including in Death Valley in California in 2020. The organisation is also seeking to validate a reported record for Europe in Italy’s Sicily, which saw the thermometer climb to 48.8C this summer. The WMO Archive of Weather and Climate Extremes has never had so many ongoing simultaneous investigations.

PART-2: CRITICAL COMMENTARY

LOCALIZED TEMPERATURE EVENTS ON OUR EARTH ARE NORMAL AND UNDERSTOOD IN CLIMATE SCIENCE AS INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND NOT SOME KIND OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ANOMALY. LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/07/16/the-internal-variability-issue/ . HOWEVER, IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AN INTERGLACIAL GLOBAL WARMING CYCLE MAY INCREASE THE FREQUENCY AND SEVERITY OF THESE EVENTS.

AS FOR EXAMPLE, IN THE PREVIOUS INTERGLACIAL, THE EEMIAN, A SEVERE GLOBAL WARMING CYCLE HAD CAUSED AN UNUSUAL AND INTENSE LOCALIZED TEMPERATURE EVENT IN THE ANTARCTIC THAT HAD CAUSED THE WEST ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET TO COLLAPSE AND THAT IN TURN HAD CAUSED A CATASTROPHIC SEA LEVEL RISE OF SEVERAL METERS. IN CLIMATE SCIENCE THIS EEMIAN EVENT IS UNDERSTOOD AS A CREATION OF GLOBAL WARMING BUT IT WAS NOT HUMAN CAUSED.

THEREFORE THE TEMPERATURE EVENTS PRESENTED ABOVE MUST BE UNDERSTOOD AS INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY UNLESS IT CAN BE SHOWN THAT A COMPARISON OF THESE EVENTS AGAINST HISTORICAL DATA PROVIDES EVIDENCE THAT AN UNUSUAL SEVERITY OF THESE INTERNAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY EVENTS MAY HAVE BEEN A CREATION OF GLOBAL WARMING AS IN THE COLLAPSE OF THE WAIS DURING THE EEMIAN INTERGLACIAL. OTHER EXAMPLES OF UNUSUALLY SEVERE LOCALIZED HIGH TEMPERATURE EVENTS IN A PERIOD OF GLOBAL WARMING ARE ALSO FOUND IN THE HOLOCENE. IN THAT CONTEXT, THE GREATER ISSUE HERE IS NOT THAT THERE WERE HIGH TEMPERATURE EVENTS IN THE ARCTIC DURING THE CURRENT GLOBAL WARMING CYCLE OF THE HOLOCENE, NOR THAT THEIR SEVERITY COULD BE A CREATION OF GLOBAL WARMING BUT WHETHER HUMANS TAKING CLIMATE ACTION CAN MODERATE OR ELIMINATE THESE EVENTS – SOMETHING THAT CAN BE POSSIBLE ONLY IF THE CURRENT WARMING CYCLE OF THE HOLOCENE IS HUMAN CAUSED.

THEREFORE, THE REAL ISSUE HERE IS NOT THAT GLOBAL WARMING INCREASES THE FREQUENCY AND SEVERITY OF HIGH TEMPERATURE EVENTS BUT WHETHER THERE IS A ROLE FOR HUMANS IN THESE INTERGLACIAL TEMPERATURE DYNAMICS SUCH THAT HUMANS CAN MODERATE OR ELIMINATE SUCH HIGH TEMPERATURE EVENTS BY TAKING THE CLIMATE ACTION OF NOT BURNING FOSSIL FUELS AS DEMANDED BY CLIMATE SCIENCE.

AN UNDERLYING ASSUMPTION IN ENVRONMENTALISM IS THAT ALL BAD THINGS ARE HUMAN CAUSED AND CAN AND MUST BE MODERATED OR ELIMINATED BY CHANGING HUMAN BEHAVIOR. THIS ILLOGIC IS ALSO FOUND IN CLIMATE SCIENCE. A FURTHER ASSSESSMENT OF THIS ISSUE OF NATURAL VERSUS ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING IS PRESENTED IN A RELATED POST ON THIS SITE: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/11/09/the-issue-is-human-cause/

EXTRACT:

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