Thongchai Thailand

CONVENIENT LIES

Posted on: September 18, 2021

CLAIM: IF YOU LOVE YOUR PLANET, IF YOU LOVE YOUR CHILDREN, YOU HAVE TO SEE THIS FILM.

{THE CLAIMED PLANETARY RELEVANCE IS AN IMPOSSIBILITY. IT DOES NOT EXIST; AND THE NEED TO USE CHILDREN IN THIS WAY TO SELL AN ACTIVISM AGENDA EXPOSES THE ABSENCE OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR THE ALARMING CLAIMS}

CLAIM; IF YOU LOOK AT THE TEN HOTTEST YEARS EVER MEASURED, THEY’VE ALL OCCURRED IN THE LAST 14 YEARS.

{THE WORD “MEASURED” IS A HIDDEN RESTRICTION OF THE WORD “EVER” TO THE INSTRUMENTAL RECORD, AN INSIGNIFICANT PERIOD IN THE CONTEXT OF THE HOLOCENE. THE IMPLICATION IS THAT “EVER” CARRIES THE FEAR APPEAL POWER OF THE WORD “EVER” BUT IT DOES NOT MEAN “EVER”}.

CLAIM: BY FAR THE MOST TERRIFYING FILM YOU WILL EVER SEE

AN ADMISSION THAT THIS IS A FEAR APPEAL ARGUMENT FOR CLIMATE ACTION. THE FEAR APPEAL ISSUE IN THE CLIMATE CHANGE AFFAIR IS DISCUSSED IN A RELATED POST LINKED BELOW.

FEAR APPEAL LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/07/22/fear-appeal-in-climate-change/

CLAIM: THE SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS APPEAL: SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS IS THAT WE ARE CAUSING GLOBAL WARMING

RESPONSE THE TRUTH OF A PROPOSED THEORY MUST BE SUPPORTED BY EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE AND NOT BY CONSENSUS HOWEVER “SCIENTIFIC” IT MAY BE. THE WORDS SCIENCE AND CONSENSUS ARE NOT A SEAL OF TRUTH AND NOT AN EQUIVALENT ALTERNATIVE TO EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE.

CLAIM: THIS IS PATAGONIA 75 YEARS AGO AND

THIS IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE TODAY

THIS IS MOUNT KILIMANJARO 30 YEARS AGO

AND THIS IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE TODAY

WITHIN A DECADE THERE WILL BE NO MORE SNOWS OF KILIMANJARO

RESPONSE: THESE CLAIMS WERE INITIALLY ENDORESED BY CLIMATE SCIENCE BUT THAT ENDORESEMENT HAS SINCE BEEN WITHDRAWN. THE ICE LOSS INTERPRETED HERE AS A CREATION OF GLOBAL WARMING WAS ACTUALLY DUE TO ARIDITY NOT WARMING. THE ICE LOSS PROCESS WAS SUBLIMATION NOT MELTING. THE SUBLIMATION HAD STARTED WAY BACK IN 1912 LONG BEFORE THE START DATE FOR ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING CURRENTLY SET TO THE YEAR 1950 BY NASA. ATMOSPHERIC CO2 WAS 300PPM THEN. BUT THE MORE SERIOUS ISSUE HERE IS THAT SINCE THEN, AS GLOBAL WARMING INTENSIFIED AND THE SCIENTIFIC ALARM AND FEAR APPEAL GREATLY EXTENDED TO A DESTRUCTION OF THE PLANET ITSELF, WHAT WE SEE IN THE DATA FOR THESE ICE SUBLIMATION EVENTS IS THAT THE ICE HAS COME BACK AND IS GROWING. NOW WHAT??? LINK TO DETAILS:  http://chaamjamal.blogspot.com/2009/10/reference-thermostatic-time-bomb.html

CLAIM:

THIS IS REALLY NOT A POLITICAL ISSUE SO MUCH AS A MORAL ISSUE.

TEMPERATURE INCREASES ARE TAKING PLACE ALL OVER THE WORLD.

AND THAT’S CAUSING STRONGER STORMS.

THIS IS THE BIGGEST CRISIS IN THE HISTORY OF THIS COUNTRY.

THIS MORNING HURRICANE KATRINA SLAMMED INTO NEW ORLEANS.

DID THE PLANET BETRAY US? OR DID WE BETRAY THE PLANET?

IS IT POSSIBLE THAT WE SHOULD PREPARE FOR OTHER THREATS BESIDES TERRORISTS?

RESPONSE: THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THIS SECTION OF THE VIDEO IS THE CLAIM THAT GLOBAL WARMING IS CAUSING WEATHER EXTREMES WITH A SPECIFIC REFERENCE TO HURRICANE KATRINA AND ITS DESTRUCTION ATTRIBUTED TO AGW. IT IS TRUE THAT CLIMATE SCIENCE HAS DETERMINED THAT AGW WILL INCREASE THE STRENGTH, FREQUENCY, AND DESTRUTIVENESS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES. HOWEVER, IMPORTANT DETAILS OF THIS ISSUE HAS BEEN OVERLOOKED IN THE FEARFUL ASSESSMENT PROVIDED ABOVE WHERE THE PLANET ITSELF IS THREATENED WITH DESTRUCTION BY AGW BY WAY OF EXTREME WEATHER.

AS DESCRIBED IN RELATED POSTS ON THIS SITE LINKED BELOW, (1) WHAT CLIMATE SCIENCE SAYS ABOUT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ISSUE IS THAT AGW WILL CAUSE SST (SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE) TO RISE AND THAT WILL CREATE TROPICAL CYCLONES WITH MORE ENERGY AND THEREFORE GREATER DESTRUCTIVENESS. HOWEVER, THE DETAILS OF THIS HYPOTHESIS AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE DATA ARE SUCH THAT EMPIRICAL TESTS OF THIS EFFECT MUST INCUDE DATA FOR ALL TROPICAL CYCLONES IN ALL SIX TROPICAL CYCLONE BASINS OVER A LONG TIME SPAN OF 40 YEARS OR MORE TO TEST WHETHER THERE IS A STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT TREND IN TROPICAL CYCLONE DESTRUCTIVENESS. AS FOR HURRICANE KATRINA, A SINGLE CYCLONE IN A SINGLE CYCLONE BASIN DOES NOT CONTAIN USEFUL INFORMATION ABOUT THE IMPACT OF AGW ON TROPICAL CYCLONES. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THAT IN THAT PARTICULARLY DESTRUCTIVE CYCLONE SEASON IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC BASIN, THE STRONGEST HURRICANE WAS WILMA, NOT KATRINA. KATRINA’S DESTRUCTIVENESS SHOULD BE UNDERSTOOD NOT AS A CONSEQUENCE OF ITS ENERGY GAINED FROM AGW BUT FROM A LEVEE SYSTEM THAT THAT HAD FAILED BECAUSE OF MAINTENANCE ISSUES. THESE ISSUES ARE UNRELATED TO AGW. DETAILS ABOUT HURRICANE KATRINA AND THE CLIMATE SCIENCE OF THE IMPACT OF AGW ON TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE DOCUMENTS LINKED BELOW.

LINK#1: KATRINA: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/09/18/climate-change-hurricanes/

LINK#2: THE CLIMATE SCIENCE POSITION ON TROPICAL CYCLONES: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/11/14/hurricane-obsession/

WHAT CLIMATE SCIENCE SAYS ABOUT TROPICAL CYCLONE ATTRIBUTION TO AGW

Tropical cyclones and climate change.” Nature geoscience 3.3 (2010): 157-163. In the paper, Tom Knutson spells out exactly what climate science claims in terms of the impact of AGW climate change on tropical cyclones with climate model predictions of the effect of rising SST on tropical cyclones. His main points are as follows: (1) Globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones will rise as AGW increases SST. Models predict globally averaged intensity increase of 2% to 11% by 2100. (2). Models predict falling globally averaged frequency of tropical cyclones with frequency decreasing 6%-34% by 2100. (3). The globally averaged frequency of “most intense tropical cyclones” should increase as a result of AGW. The intensity of tropical cyclones is measured as the ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy). (4). Models predict increase in precipitation within a 100 km radius of the storm center. A precipitation rise of 20% is projected for the year 2100. (5) Extremely high variance in tropical cyclone data at an annual time scale suggests longer, perhaps a decadal time scale which in turn greatly reduces statistical power. (6) Model projections for individual cyclone basins show large differences and conflicting results. Thus, no testable implication can be derived for studies of individual basins.

CLAIM: THE ARCTIC IS EXPERIENCING FASTER MELTING.

IF THIS WERE TO GO, SEA LEVELS WORLDWIDE WILL GO UP 20 FEET.

THIS IS WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN FLORIDA

AROUND SHANGHAI

AND AROUND CALCUTTA

HERE IN MANHATTAN, THE WORLD TRADE CENTER MEMORIAL WILL BE UNDER WATER. THINK OF THE IMPACT.

THINK OF THE IMPACT OF A COUPLE HUNDRED THOUSAND REFUGEES

AND THEN IMAGINE A HUNDRED MILLION

WE HAVE TO ACT TOGETHER TO SOLVE THIS GLOBAL CRISIS.

NOTHING IS SCARIER THAN THE TRUTH. OUR ABILITY TO LIVE IS WHAT IS AT STAKE.

How can we avoid a climate change catastrophe? Al Gore and Davos leaders  respond | World Economic Forum

HIS 2008 VIDEO

2008 SPEECH

A FORECAST IS MADE WITH GREAT CONFIDENCE THAT THE ENTIRE NORTH POLAR ICE CAP WILL BE GONE IN 5 YEARS (2013) BUT AS OF THE YEAR 2021, IT IS STILL THERE AND THE REPEATED CLAIMS FOR DECADES THAT SEPTEMBER MINIMUM SEA ICE WILL BE GONE IN THE VERY NEXT YEAR HAS YET TO MATERIALIZE.

RESPONSE: NO DATA OR CITATION IS PROVIDED FOR THE ATTRIBUTIONS AND FORECASTS USED IN THIS EXTREME FEARMONGERING LECTURE AND SO WE MUST ASSUME THAT NONE EXISTS AND THAT THE CLIMATE IMPACT CLAIMS ARE SIMPLY PART OF THE FEARMONGERING NATURE OF THE LECTURE AND AS A HISTORICAL NOTE MORE THAN A DECADE LATER, ALL HIS FORECASTS OF DOOM HAVE BEEN DISPROVEN BY THE DATA .

THE SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTION OF AL GORE HAS BEEN TO DISCREDIT THE CLIMATE MOVEMENT AS IF SOME KIND OF DENIER IN DISGUISE. CLIMATE SCIENCE MAY NOW CHOOSE TO DISTANCE THEMSELVES FROM THIS ACTIVIST POST HOC BUT THAT WILL NOT UNDO THEIR ENTHUSIASTIC USE OF THIS ACTIVIST TO PUSH THE CLIMATE ACTION AGENDA AND THEIR WHOLE-HEARTED ENDORESEMENT OF THIS ACTIVIST WHOSE PARTICIPATION IS NOW EXPOSED AS PURE AND POORLY INFORMED ACTIVISM DISCONNECTED FROM THE SCIENCE.

AND THAT IS THE REAL UNDERLYING INCONVENIENT TRUTH.

An Inconvenient Truth|CATCHPLAY+ Watch Full Movie & Episodes Online

A BRIEF HISTORY OF CLIMATE FEAROLOGY

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/13/the-science-of-climate-science-is-fear/

Ignore the Fear Mongering, Here's What Climate Change Models Actually Say |  Mises Wire
kerry arctic circle prize

POSTSCRIPT: THIS POST WAS INSPIRED BY AN ONLINE QUESTION POSTED BY JIM MOORE ON QUORA

THANK YOU JIM MOORE

4 Responses to "CONVENIENT LIES"

Childish nonsense that only appeals to people who have a simplistic understanding of how the thermodynamics of climate actually work.

They think the snow on Kilimanjaro and Patagonia is melting away because it’s abnormally hot when the exact opposite is true.

If the winter snowfall exceeds the summer melt, the snow will accumulate.

To get more snowfall you need more water vapor and to get more water vapor you need more heat.

Global Cooling means less water vapor which means less snow which means Kilimanjaro and Patagonia are being “starved” of new snow.

The mile high continental ice sheets that buried North America, Siberia and Europe 10,000+ years ago didn’t melt away because it became too hot, they melted away because they were “starved” of precipitation because of Global Cooling.

Thank you kindly for your valued contribution to these discussions.

Funny after all that doom and gloom from Al Gore some years back I haven’t seen much of him lately. Guess he made all the money he needed and is chilling at his beach front mansion on the California coast in Montecito. And why isn’t Miami, Florida underwater yet after Jim Hanson predicted New York would be submerged by now?

Thank you for raising these interesting points. We live in strange times. Some day we may figure this out.

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